Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction: Can the Twins Hand Daulton Jefferies His 7th Loss?
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction: Can the Twins Hand Daulton Jefferies His 7th Loss?
The Minnesota Twins are back in business this season. The Twins are 21-16 on the year and have been getting tremendous pitching throughout the year from their starting rotation.
The Twins, however, did lose to the Oakland Athletics yesterday, 5-2, and will look to get revenge on the Athletics in today's final game of the series. The Athletics are just 16-23 on the year and have the lowest payroll in baseball. The Twins would really like to earn a series win in today's rubber match. Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Wednesday's game between the Oakland Athletics and Minnesota Twins.
Athletics vs. Twins Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: May 18, 2022
- Game Time: 3:37 pm ET
- Where to Watch: NBCSCA, BSNO
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Athletics vs. Twins Injury Report
Athletics
Questionable: 2B Sheldon Neuse (Groin)
Out: OF Stephen Piscotty (Calf), C Stephen Vogt (Knee)
Twins
Out: SS Carlos Correa (Finger), OF Trevor Larnach (Groin), 1B Miguel Sano (Knee), C Chance Sisco (Knee)
Athletics vs. Twins Line Movement
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
The Minnesota Twins will send out Sonny Gray, who has been electric since coming off the Injured List. Gray might be 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA but he's struck out 41.7% of batters in the last 30 days with a 2.72 xFIP to go with it.
Analytically, he's been much better than his ERA. He's inducing 66.7% of ground balls while allowing just 6.7% of line drives.
Tonight, he'll take on an Athletics lineup that has a .104 ISO and a wOBA of .249 against righties in the last 30 days. The Athletics are also hitting 48.5% of ground balls using their projected lineup and hitting just 17.1% of line drives. Gray really matches up perfectly against the Athletics.
On the other hand, Daulton Jefferies will get the call for the Athletics. Jefferies is 1-6 on the year with a 4.84 ERA. Even when he pitches okay, he's getting losses this season. Jefferies is striking out just 17% ofo batters in the last 30 days with an xFIP of 4.68. He has limited walks, which is helpful but Jefferies is still giving up a lot of hard contact.
Righties have a .376 wOBA and ISO of .232 in the last 30 days against Jefferies and there's no better righty than Byron Buxton, who has a .340 ISO with the Twins against righties in the last 30 days.
Gary Sanchez, another righty, has a .220 ISO in the last 30 days and plenty of lefties in the order have had success against righties in the last 30 days for the Twins. Therefore, I'll rock with the Twins today on the moneyline.
Oakland Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins Pick
- Twins (-155) (Bet $155 to Win $110)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.