Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction: Can the Red Sox Make it Three in a Row?

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction: Can the Red Sox Make it Three in a Row?

The Red Sox and Mariners will square off in game two of the series tonight after an electric first game. The bats were scorching last night in an eighteen-run game between the two squads. It looked like the Mariners were about to run away with it early after taking a four-run lead in the top of the second, but the Red Sox quickly tied it up in the bottom of the third. The Red Sox took a five-run lead into the eighth inning before eventually ending the game in a 12-6 win. I got too cute with taking the Red Sox to score first in the article yesterday, even though we did win the two-unit max on the Red Sox moneyline. Tonight, I am heading right back to the counter and taking the Red Sox once again. Let's dive into my prediction, pick, and odds for Red Sox vs. Mariners.

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Line Movement

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

Michael Wacha is off to one of the best starts to a season in his career. His 1.38 ERA is one of the lowest in the league, and he has been up against some formidable lineups as well, like the Angels, Blue Jays, and Rays. His 1.4 WAR is the highest WAR he's had since his 2017. Wacha is coming off the 15-day IL, so his arm should be rested. The Red Sox have also won every game he's started in since the first start of the season against the Tigers. He also has a .92 WHIP on the season, meaning he's kept baserunners to a minimum. Wacha also has yet to allow an earned run at home this season over two starts and ten combined innings. Wacha is undoubtedly the strongest starter in the Boston rotation at the moment.

Wacha should have the help of some extra run support as well today. The Boston bats have woken up, and they are also always better at home. The Red Sox are batting .312 over their last three games, and some of their bats that started the season cold, like Kike Hernandez and Trevor Story, are heating up recently. The Red Sox lineup is pretty much entirely healthy, and they are clicking at the moment. The Red Sox have a .762 OPS in May compared to a .609 OPS in April. This is an above .500 lineup when healthy, and I think we see another offensive explosion like last night.

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Robbie Ray is struggling to say the least. Ray has had arguably only one decent start on the road, and that was in his first start of the year against the Twins. Ray has a 5.55 ERA on the road this season. The Mariners are 4-3 in Ray's starts, but that was with substantial run support to back him up. Like in his last start, where he allowed five runs in six innings to the Mets, but the Mariners had his back and scored eight runs to win 8-7. Run support may be harder to come by in this one, with Boston's strongest starter having a career year on the mound.

The Red Sox are 43-19 (70%) in their last 62 against Seattle at home. They have won four of the previous five meetings. The Boston bats are hot right now, and they are working behind a guy who's hot on the mound in Michael Wacha. The Mariners are a good team, but I like the value of catching a hot team at home that struggled to start the year but may be turning it around. Maybe we can get a few more Trevor Story bombs tonight too? I think the price is lower on this, given how the Red Sox started the season, so this is good value on this line, in my opinion. Take the Red Sox to take another one in this series tonight.

Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

• Pick: Red Sox ML (-118) (Bet $118 to win $100)