Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction: Can the Marlins Avoid the Sweep at Home?

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves prediction and pick by handicapper and MLB expert Jason Radowitz for Sunday afternoon's game.
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Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction: Can the Marlins Avoid the Sweep at Home?

The Atlanta Braves are starting to pace themselves. The Braves defeated the Miami Marlins 4-3 in the second game of the series and have now guaranteed a series win over the Marlins on the road. The Braves are currently 19-21 on the season and are just a couple of games away from getting back to .500. Meanwhile, the Marlins are burying themselves, and are currently 17-22 on the season.

If the Marlins want to stay competitive in the NL East, a home win against the Braves would be necessary today. Can the Marlins avoid getting swept today? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves.

Marlins vs. Braves Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSFL, BSSE

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Marlins vs. Braves Injury Report

Marlins

Out: 2B Jon Berti (Illness), 3B Joey Wendle (Hamstring)

Braves

Out: C Manny Pina (Wrist), OF Eddie Rosario (Eye)

Marlins vs. Braves Line Movement

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Miami Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara, who has a 2.49 ERA to start the season. Alcantara instead, has an xFIP of 4.58 in the last 30 days with 10.4% of walks.

However, he's been able to minimize trouble with 56.1% of ground balls along with allowing just 19.5% of line drives in the last 30 days. Lefties are hitting a .162 ISO but overall, Alcantara has done very well against lefties and righties this season.

He's taking n a Braves lineup that has also struggled against righties in the last 30 days. The Braves have a .140 ISO and wOBA of .283 in the last 30 days against righties using their projected lineup. Atlanta has also struck out 26% of the time and has hit under 20% of line drives against righties.

On the other hand, Ian Anderson will get the call for the Braves. Anderson has a 3.75 ERA but has also struggled in the last 30 days, giving up a 5.44 xFIP along with just 14.4% of strikeouts and 10.2% of walks.

Anderson is getting 49.4% of ground balls and allowing just 19.1% of line drives, which has helped his case recently. He'll take on a Marlins lineup that has a bit more firepower, between Jazz Chisholm, Jesus Aguilar, and Jorge Soler. As a projected lineup, the Marlins have a .152 ISO with a wOBA of .318.

The Marlins are also hitting 25.1% of line drives against righties and strike out 20.2% of the time.

Therefore, I like the Marlins to avoid the sweep against the Braves by going up against Anderson. The Marlins are hitting more line drives against righties, can avoid strikeouts, and get on base more often.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Pick

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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