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Which bad team can we trust more? The Cubs or the Reds? Jason Radowitz breaks down the Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs game tonight.
ANALYSIS

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction: Should We Trust the Cubs In Cincinnati Tonight?

This hasn't been a great start to the season for the Cincinnati Reds or Chicago Cubs. But it's likely that one of those two teams will finish off the week-day series happy with a series win. However, the series between the Reds and Cubs is four games, so these two teams could end up splitting 2-2. For now, both teams are just going to take it one game at a time.

Which team will have the early momentum? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Monday's game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs.

Reds vs. Cubs Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSOH, MARQ, ESPN+

Click Here for Reds vs Cubs Odds

Reds vs. Cubs Injury Report

Cubs

Questionable: Willson Contreras (Hamstring)

Out: 2B David Bote (Shoulder), OF Clint Frazier (Illness), OF Michael Hermosillo (Quadriceps), OF Jason Heyward (Undisclosed), 2B Nico Hoerner (Ankle), 2B Nick Madrigal (Back)

Reds

Out: OF Jake Fraley (Knee), 2B Jonathan India (Hamstring), OF Nick Senzel (Illness), 2B Donovan Solano (Hamstring)

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction

The Cincinnati Reds will send out Vladimir Gutierrez. If Gutierrez was on any other team, he wouldn't be pitching. Gutierrez has an 8.65 ERA on the season with an 0-5 record. In the last 30 days, Gutierrez also has a 7.02 xFIP with 14.9% of strikeouts and 14.9% of walks. Lefties have a .553 wOBA and ISO of .567 while righties have a .374 wOBA against Gutierrez in the last 30 days. The Cubs don't have the best offense but any offense is good enough against Gutierrez. The Cubs have a .142 ISO and wOBA of .307 in the last 30 days against righties. The Cubs also strike out 25.6% of the time but that probably won't be the case against Gutierrez. On the other hand, Drew Smyly will get the call for the Cubs. Smyly has a 1-5 record but an ERA below 4. He also has an xFIP of 3.52 in the last 30 days with just 5.5% of walks. Smyly, on top of that, is earning 51.6% of ground balls in the last 30 days and has actually been very unlucky with a BABIP of .351 in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, the Reds only have two reliable hitters against Smyly, including Matt Reynolds and Kyle Farmer. Reynolds is usually a nine-hitter and Farmer is also usually at the bottom of the order. That's not good news for a Reds lineup that ultimately has very little power and low wOBA as well. Let's take a shot at the Cubs at -125 on the moneyline. It's always fun fading Gutierrez. He's been horrible all year.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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