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Zac Gallen has been one of the top pitchers in the league this season but will his success continue again tonight? Let’s break down the Royals vs. Diamondbacks matchups
ANALYSIS

Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Best Bet: Who Gets on the Board First?

Tonight is a bit of a tricky slate to navigate from a handicapping perspective and I am taking a bit of a different approach with today’s Play of the Day. The Diamondbacks got off to an inauspicious start last night as Zach Davies gave up 3 solo homers in the 1st inning but then the Dbacks came storming back to win the F5 and would eventually win the game in convincing fashion. Let's get into the Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks odds, predictions, and picks.

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Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Now fast forward to tonight’s game and the Diamondbacks are heavily favored with the ML being juiced to -220 at some shops and the F5 -0.5 being juiced to close to -150 so what is the best angle to attack here? Well considering how dominant Gallen has been all season, I think the best and most optimal approach to this game is to take the Diamondbacks to score first at -112.

You get a huge discount on the price on this prop because the Diamondbacks are the home team and will hit second each inning. Gallen was in a similar spot as this in the series against the Cubs last weekend. In the game prior to Gallen’s start, the Dbacks gave up 3 early runs to the Cubs but then stormed back and scored 4 in the next 2 inning against Drew Smyly and would eventually win the F5 and the game by a score of 4-3. Fast forward to the next game and the Dbacks were -160 with Gallen on the hill.

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The Dbacks jumped out on top but would eventually relinquish the lead and would actually lose that game to the Cubs The scary part about this bet is that the Royals will obviously hit first to start the game and there’s a chance they could score in the top of the 1st without the Diamondbacks even having a chance but I trust Gallen to be able to get through at least 2-3 scoreless innings to allow his guys to provide some run support to jump out on too early.

So with that being said, I am rolling with Diamondbacks to Score 1st at -112 for 1U as my most confident play of the night as I think Gallen will stifle the Royals early and the Dbacks should be able to take advantage against Heasley for the Royals, who has had a lot of control issues as he has 7 total walks and 8 hits allowed in just 8 1/3rd total innings this season.

Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Picks

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Article Author

NCAABNBAMLB

Joey has spent the last 6+ years betting on sports with a focus on basketball and baseball. Basketball is his main focus, and not many people know more about mid-major basketball than him. Whether you need advice on a Saturday night primetime game or a Tuesday night back-alley SWAC/MEAC game, Joey is your man.

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