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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Tuesday's slate. He breaks down two parlays for us here.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Tuesday: Cash In With This Expert's +630 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays with one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+263) (Bet $100 to win $263)

  • Brewers (-130)
  • Twins (-255)
  • Dodgers (-210)

We spoke it into existence! We won our first parlay of the week, with a solid +474 moneyline parlay. Let's go for back-to-back parlays tonight. The Brewers will send out Corbin Burnes, who has been electric, with a 3.25 xFIP in the last 30 days. He's also earning 31.7% of strikeouts and giving up 3.2% of walks in that same time frame. The Padres have had trouble hitting righties lately and there's no better righty than Burnes. Meanwhile, Blake Snell will make his second start of the season. After his first start, there are low expectations for Snell. With six righties in the lineup, the Brewers have a clear advantage.

The Twins will send out Sonny Gray, who has been elite analytically recently. Gray has had a 2.78 xFIP in the last 30 days with 33.3% of strikeouts. He's also getting 61.8% of ground balls and limiting line drives to under 15%. Good luck to a Tigers offense that has a .234 wOBA. Meanwhile, the Twins should find some success against Beau Brieske, who has an xFIP above 6 with low strikeouts and high walks.

Josiah Gray will be facing his old team tonight. Gray has an xFIP above 5 with high walks and will take on a Dodgers lineup that is really starting to heat up. With Walker Buehler on the mound for the Dodgers, it's going to be hard for Washington to score enough runs after the damage that the Dodgers do offensively. Back the Dodgers.

MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks +630 (Bet $100 to win $630)

  • Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Under 7 (+100)
  • Red Sox vs. White Sox Under 7.5 (-105)
  • Mets vs. Giants Under 7.5 (-115)

Whenever Kevin Gausman's on the mound, it's usually a safe bet to take the under. Gausman has a 3.09 xFIP in the last 30 days with 28.2% of strikeouts and 2.4% of walks. He's a consistent ace analytically. Meanwhile, Jordan Hicks will take the mound for the Cardinals. Walks can get high for him but he's taking on a Blue Jays lineup that has a .137 ISO and wOBA of .262 against righties in the last 30 days.

Just like Gausman, anytime Dylan Cease is on the mound, the under seems safe. Cease has a 3.22 xFIP with 42.1% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. Nobody can hit him. On the other hand, Nick Pivetta has been so much better as of late, earning a 3.70 xFIP in the last 30 days with 26.7% of strikeouts and 4.3% of walks. Back these two pitchers tonight.

Chris Bassitt has struggled against righties more than lefties this season. The Giants will send out six lefties and three righties who haven't been all that great against righties. Meanwhile, Logan Webb will take the mound for the Giants and while he's going to face plenty of lefties this season, no Mets player has dominated from the left side against righties consistently. I'll ride the two pitchers with low xFIPs and low ERAs.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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