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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz previews Wednesday's San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers game from Petco Park and gives us his best bet.
ANALYSIS

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Can the Padres Win Rubber Match Behind Yu Darvish?

The San Diego Padres will play another rubber match game against the Milwaukee Brewers today. The Padres won the first game of three but the Brewers added a win to their resume yesterday, tying the series at one.

With ace pitcher, Yu Darvish, on the mound, can the Padres get the series win today? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Wednesday's game between the San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers.

Padres vs. Brewers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 25, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSSD, BSWI

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Padres vs. Brewers Injury Report

Padres

Out: SS Fernando Tatis (Wrist), 1B Matt Beaty (Shoulder)

Brewers

Out: SS Willy Adames (Ankle), OF Hunter Renfroe (Hamstring)

Padres vs. Brewers Line Movement

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Padres will send out ace pitcher Yu Darvish for today's game. Darvish has a 3.91 ERA but a 4-1 record to go along with it.

In the last 30 days, Darvish has had a high xFIP of 4.73 and is only earning 16.2% of strikeouts. However, Darvish has limited walks to 1.9% and continues to keep power numbers and weighted on-base averages down on both sides of the plate.

Darvish won't have an easy task going up against Milwaukee. The Brewers have a .189 ISO and wOBA of .336 in the last 30 days against righties. That's above average, however, Milwaukee is only hitting 19.5% of line drives and striking out 23% of the time.

On the other hand, Aaron Ashby will get the start for the Brewers. He's a left-handed pitcher with terrible command and a whole lot of potential. Ashby has walked 13% of batters but other than that has been extremely efficient.

However, he's taking on a Padres lineup that has a .170 ISO and wOBA of .345 with just 17.3% of strikeouts and 12.1% of walks in the last 30 days against lefties. The Padres simply match up well against Ashby. They'll get guys on base.

The Padres just need a couple of clutch hits while guys are on base and that should be the difference in this game. I like the Padres to earn the series win at home with Darvish on the mound. Ashby is 0-3 on the year and has been all over the place when it comes to command and control.

Let's take the Padres to win in this exciting rubber match at home.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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