Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox Best Bet: Drinking the Juice With Dallas Keuchel
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox Best Bet: Drinking the Juice With Dallas Keuchel
White Sox vs. Red Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: May 26, 2022
- Game Time: 8:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: NBC Chicago, NESEN, BSWI
Click Here for White Sox vs Red Sox Odds
Read on for our prediction, best play, and the odds for Thursday's series finale between the Red Sox and White Sox.
Click here to claim our best BetMGM Promo Code for all the MLB action or check out the offers below for a selection of the best offers available on site!
White Sox vs. Red Sox Total Movement
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction
0.5u - Dallas Keuchel Under 3.5 Earned Runs (-163) ($81.50 to win $50)
*Odds Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing*
Although I’m never afraid of the juice this has reached heights that I want to mitigate our risk so we will go for a half unit here. I still want exposure to this though because I see so much value. This number is just so high, Keuchel isn’t an ace like he once was but this feels mean. The lefty has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4/7 this year and in 20/32 games last season. Allowing 4+ runs means that you were impressively bad which Keuchel is no stranger to but he has demonstrated that he can do this against Boston this season already. 18 days ago Keuchel pitched against this same Boston team and only allowed 2 earned runs over 6 innings pitched.
Keuchel actually has quite a nice history against these Red Sox bats, allowing 11 RBIs in 75 at bats. Assuming he faces 25 batters tonight which is probably overestimating, that would project him to allow 3 runs max. Keuchel has shown that he is better at home and Boston struggles away from Fenway with a 10-13 record. The stars just kind of align here to assume he allows 3 or less, the juice is crazy but warranted. Boston also bats slightly worse against lefties which makes us feel even that much more confident heading into tonight.
The most interesting thing to note here is Keuchel’s daytime and nighttime splits. He is a creature of the night. Keuchel in night games this year has a 1.93 ERA in three starts, in day games he has a 10.69 ERA. As Keuchel gets older he is clearly getting more affected by the sun and plays better as it gets darker outside. I’m 99% joking but still found that stat funny and worth sharing, whenever I see an earned run prop at 3.5 I feel like I have to take it if they’re a legitimate big leaguer. It will win more than it loses and we can win with a cheap injury.
Click Here For The Best Sportsbook Promotions Available In Your State