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The Kansas City Royals are taking on the Minnesota Twins today. Here's Jason Radowitz's breakdown of the odds, predictions, and picks.
ANALYSIS

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction: More Runs in Minnesota

The Kansas City Royals came into the season looking pretty. The lineup was pretty eye-popping and the addition of Bobby Witt Jr. was supposed to put them over the top.

Instead, the Royals are just 14-28 on the season and have had little success all season long.

However, the Twins, on the other hand, are 27-17 on the year and are doing exactly what was expected out of the last season. Tonight, the Twins and Royals will start a new weekend series. How will the first game play out?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday's game between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins.

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Royals vs. Twins Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSND, BSKC

Royals vs. Twins Injury Report

Royals

Questionable: OF Kyle Isbel (Illness)

Out: C Cam Gallagher (Hamstring), 3B Adalberto Mondesi (Knee), Edward Olivares (Quadriceps), C Salvador Perez (Thumb), OF Michael A. Taylor (Illness)

Twins

Questionable: SS Jorge Polanco (Ankle) Out: 1B Miguel Sano (Knee)

Royals vs. Twins Line Movement

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction

Just last Friday, Daniel Lynch took the mound for the Royals against Devin Smeltzer of the Minnesota Twins.

Tonight, we're getting the same matchup.

The left-handed Lynch allowed five hits and four runs in 3.2 innings against the Twins along with two walks and two strikeouts in that game.

In the last 30 days, Lynch has a 5.56 xFIP with 12.5% of walks. He clearly hasn't been all that great to start the season and will take on a Twins lineup that has a .350 wOBA against lefties in the last 30 days.

You can expect more damage from the Twins tonight against Lynch.

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Meanwhile, Smeltzer is also a left-hander with a 5.60 xFIP in the last 30 days. He has a 1.74 ERA on the season in a smaller sample size but has been getting lucky a bit.

The Royals lineup rarely strikes out against lefties, striking ut just 11.9% of the time in the last 30 days. The Royals also walk 10.9% of the time and have a wOBA of .301. Kansas City will get their chances too in this game. The Royals only dragged one run across the plate against Smeltzer in the previous start but should continue putting the ball in play.

Smeltzer literally didn't have one strikeout in 5.1 innings against the Royals in his last start. Again, the Royals put the ball in play and even earned five hits and a walk. But only scored one run. With more film on Smeltzer and after seeing him in a previous start, the Royals should be prepared and ready to go tonight offensively.

Therefore, I'll grab the Over 8 in this game. Both pitchers are left-handed, going up against two lineups that are right-handed heavy. Lynch and Smeltzer have high xFIPs along with high walks.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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