Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: Can Ryan Pepiot Put Down the Diamondbacks?

Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is back with another top MLB player prop bet for Friday. This time his pick comes from the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers game with his sights set on starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot.
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: Can Ryan Pepiot Put Down the Diamondbacks?

A lot of people say that you can't have three Plays of the Century in one week. I have a rule: never listen to people who say that. They have no idea how Plays of the Century work. For starters, you never even know when a Play of the Century can happen. They just appear. Out of nowhere. One minute you're just sitting at your computer looking for things to bet on and then BAM, a Play of the Century appears on your screen. It happens all the time. The good news is, it happened again today. Like five minutes ago. I'm still trying to figure out who in their right mind allowed this line to be released but chances are it was a new person. Nobody with more than three hours of experience would have allowed this. I still can't even believe we're allowed to bet this. What a world.

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Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Odds

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Line Movement

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Ryan Pepiot 6+ Strikeouts (+190) (Bet $100 to Win $190)

*Odds Available at FanDuel at Time of Publishing*

I'm at FanDuel for this one since they have the ladders we all know and love but we have options. If you want to be a juice drinker, you could take the over 4.5 strikeouts for -116 at FanDuel. If you can only play at DraftKings, then they have 4.5 for -120. I just can't do all that. I want +190. It's Friday night and there will be an NBA playoff game going on at the same time. Plus I'll be out in public so -116 just won't cut it. Sometimes you have to be somebody.

Ryan Pepiot. This guy is as wild as they come. Walks everybody. Reminds me of a kid I played Little League with, Jeremy Mayer. Jeremy couldn't hit the backstop with a pitch early in his career. But his dad was the coach so he was still allowed to pitch. We'd watch this kid walk-in run after run until his dad came and got him. It was crazy. But as Jeremy got older, he started getting more control. With that control, came strikeouts. By the end of his Little League career, I'm convinced the number on Mayer would have been at least 4.5 -110. Keep in mind we only played six innings.

I think Pepiot's career is taking a Jeremy Mayer-like turn. He walked five guys in his first outing, and then three in his last. They sent the kid back down to the minors and he only walked one guy in his last start. That's called progress people. I know we're betting this guy's strikeouts but not walking people is part of that. He can't strike people out if he's out of the game because he threw 100 pitches in three innings.

Pepiot's opponent tonight, the Arizona Diamondbacks, aren't the best for guys with control problems. But one thing they are good for is strikeouts. Only one team in MLB has struck out more against righties this season than they have (Braves). Pepiot's last start was against them and he fanned five in just four innings. He walked three people that game but was allowed to throw 87 pitches. If Jeremy Mayer could clean up his control issues then so can this guy. This could be the greatest bet in the history of bets.

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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