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We’re on a bet that my grandmother could make, it’s still a good one nonetheless! Here's my best bet and prediction for Friday night's Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros game.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Best Bet: Banking on Justin Verlander Again

Mariners vs. Astros Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 27, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Mariners vs Astros Odds

Read on for our best play and odds for Friday's series opener between the Astros and Mariners.

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Mariners vs. Astros Line Movement

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Prediction

1u - Justin Verlander - To Record Win - Yes (-121) (Bet $121 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at Caesars at Time of Publishing*

This is really close to our double result bets but they it could go longer than 5 innings and they can’t lose the lead at any point after Verlander is pulled. Astros are -200 road favorites for a reason, Verlander is an absolute monster and someone who has been an auto bet all year. He has already played Seattle twice this season and he has recorded a win both times. He went a ridiculous 8 innings without allowing a run in one start and in the most recent one he did allow 2 Earned Runs after 6.2 innings pitched which is still a great outing.

These two starts aren’t just it, Verlander has great lifetime stats against these Seattle bats. In 68 at-bats against Justin, they only have 12 hits and 4 RBI. That is a .176 average ane an RBI every 17 at-bats. Simply put, JV owns this franchise. Verlander has been especially good on the road for whatever reason, he has pitched 33 innings on the road and has only allowed 2 Earned Runs and 13 hits. Only allowing a hit every 2.5 innings and allowing a run every other game is impossible to sustain but it’s a great sign that he’s been playing great baseball.

The Astros do currently the best bullpen in baseball in terms of ERA with a 2.62 ERA so if Verlander leaves the game with a lead I trust them. On the other side for Seattle we have Chris Flexen who has faced off against Houston twice this year already and has recorded a loss in both efforts. This year, he has allowed 4 Earned Runs in 11 innings against them which isn’t awful but not good enough to win when you’re playing an ace. Flexen has allowed 3 Earned Runs or more in 5/8 starts, if that happens again then this should cash with absolute ease. Houston has been playing pretty good ball lately and should help JV out. This is worth staying up for!

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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