Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Will This Series Finale Soar Past the Total?
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Will This Series Finale Soar Past the Total?
While the Los Angeles Dodgers’ three-game winning streak is not the longest active in baseball, arguably no team has looked more dominant against its current opponent. The Dodgers have won the first three games of their road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks by a combined 23-7, which helped add to their league-best +117 run differential.
The Dodgers are now 8-2 against the Diamondbacks this season and have won seven straight against them. Los Angeles is now 15-5 in its last 20 meetings with Arizona, but can they complete the four-game road sweep this afternoon?
Read on for our best play for Sunday’s series finale between the Dodgers and Diamondbacks.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
Los Angeles sends Tyler Anderson (5-0, 3.30) to the mound, one of three pitchers (Paul Blackburn and Joe Musgrove are the others) with at least five wins and no losses. Compared to the other two, he has an identical 1.01 WHIP as Blackburn and a better K:BB rate than Musgrove (8.4 versus 5.7 (51 to 9). In Anderson’s lone start against Arizona this year, the team won 12-3 as Anderson was brilliant with two earned runs allowed and seven strikeouts with no walks over seven innings. After losing Anderson’s first two road starts, the Dodgers have won his last two by a combined score of 16-3 against the Nationals and Cubs.
One area where Anderson is vulnerable is the long ball, as he has allowed six home runs over 43.2 innings. He has surrendered two home runs in two of his last three starts, including two solo home runs to Jordan Luplow and Christian Walker.
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Los Angeles’ .340 OBP, .773 OPS, and 259 runs lead the league by a wide margin, so we are not concerned about its ability to score runs. And while Arizona ranks 29th in batting average (.216) and has struck out the second-most times (444), they rank fifth in the league with 57 home runs. Thus, if Arizona can continue to hit for power (but with men on base this time), we should see this game easily soar past the projected total.
The Dodgers have scored five or more runs in 60% of their games against the Diamondbacks and have covered the runline in seven of their ten victories. We would not put anyone off backing L.A.’s runline odds today, but sweeping opponents in four games is difficult for even the best of teams, so we instead opt for the safer play of the over.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
- PICK: Dodgers-Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 (-110) (Bet $110 to win $100)