Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction: Top Play for Sunday Night Baseball

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction: Top Play for Sunday Night Baseball

Tonight's Sunday Night Baseball matchup pits the Phillies versus the Mets in the last game of the three-game series. The Mets have won the first two games in the series and are now attempting to sweep the Phillies. The Mets have now won four games in a row at home, and the Phillies will work behind Zack Wheeler to try and salvage a win in this series before heading home. So what's the top play this Sunday night? Here's a look at the Phillies vs. Mets odds, predictions, and picks.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Line Movement

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Prediction

The Mets are sending 33-year-old Chris Bassitt to the mound to attempt the sweep tonight. Bassitt is coming off a horrific outing where he gave up eight earned runs in 4.1 innings against the Giants on the road. Bassitt clearly did not have his stuff last time out, but I think he is in for a bounceback. The Giants have been Bassitt's kryptonite, and he's only had one bad outing this season against a team not named the Giants.

Bassitt is one of the most profitable pitchers to back on the first-half line this season with a 7-2 record. Bassitt throws the kitchen sink at you with a diverse pitch arsenal. Bassitt throws 18% four-seam fastballs, 27% sinkers, 18% cutters, 17% sliders, 7% changeup, and 10% curveballs. He keeps the batters guessing, and in his lone start against the Phillies this year, he gave up one run in 5.2 innings of work. The Mets bats have been one of the hottest in the MLB over the last week. The Mets are second over the last seven days with a .948 team OPS and .337 average. Bassitt should get decent run support tonight behind the hot bats.

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The Phillies will be working behind ace Zack Wheeler tonight. Wheeler has been excellent once again this year, and he works heavily behind a four-seam to slider pitch arsenal. Wheeler pounds the zone with 41% fastballs and uses the velocity to set up his off-speed slider that he throws 30% of the time. Wheeler has looked stellar, but his home and road splits are more than noticeable. At home, Wheeler is 2-2 with a 1.48 ERA. On the road, he is 1-1 with a 7.2 ERA. Now, he faces the Mets, who are very hot, for the second time this year. His first time out against the Mets was at home, and he gave up only one run in 4.2 innings of work in an 0-2 loss. One of the Phillie's issues has been giving Wheeler run support, which is part of the reason he has a 2-2 record with a 1.48 home ERA.

The Mets are the best team on the first-half line at home. The Mets are 16-2-5 at home on the first-half moneyline this year. Tonight, since Zack Wheeler is on the mound, the Mets are actually the underdogs on the first-half line, giving us an excellent betting opportunity. The Mets are 21-2 at being tied or ahead after five innings at home. That is a trend I can and will get behind. Back Bassitt and the Mets to be tied or leading after the first half tonight.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Pick

• Pick: Mets First Five +.5 @ -135 (Bet $135 to win $100)