Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Will Red Sox Bats Power Boston to Series Victory?

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Will Red Sox Bats Power Boston to Series Victory?

The Boston Red Sox pounced on the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday, winning 12-2. The Red Sox knocked 15 base hits and five home runs to power their way through the Orioles on Sunday. Now the Red Sox have a chance to win the five-game series on Memorial Day.

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Monday’s game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Boston Red Sox.

Red Sox vs. Orioles Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: May 30, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
• Where to Watch: MASN2, NESN

Red Sox vs. Orioles Injury Report

Orioles

None of Importance

Red Sox

None of Importance

Red Sox vs. Orioles Line Movement

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Red Sox will pitch a left-hander in Rich Hill for today’s game. Hill has a 3.86 ERA and is a veteran who is usually reliable.

In the last 30 days, Hill has a 4.52 xFIP with 17.8% of strikeouts, however, he’s only walked 4.1% of batters in that same time frame.

Righties have an ISO of .185 against Hill in the last 30 days, but other than that, things have gone well for the veteran.

He should be fine going up against the Orioles as they've been awful against lefties, holding a .094 ISO and wOBA of .245 in the last 30 days. That is using the projected lineup for the Orioles in this game. Baltimore, with that lineup, strikes out 23.8% of the time against lefties in the last 30 days.

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On the other hand, Tyler Wells will man the mound for the Orioles. He’s 1-4 with a 4.30 ERA on the season. He also has an xFIP of 5.25 in the last 30 days with just 15.3% of strikeouts.

Wells has limited walks to 2% in that same time frame but isn’t earning many ground balls and is allowing too many line drives. There's good and bad with Wells. However, he's taking on a Red Sox lineup that is just red hot right now.

In the last 30 days, the Red Sox have a .331 wOBA and ISO of .179 using their projected lineup. Boston has only struck out 17% of the time against righties in the last 30 days using that same projected lineup. Wells isn't a big strikeout thrower, to begin with, therefore, it's likely that the Red Sox put a bunch of balls in play in this game.

Rafael Devers and J.D. Martinez have destroyed righties in the last 30 days and are two major threats against Wells. The same could also be said about Christian Arroyo, who has a limited sample size but an ISO of above .300 in the last 30 days against righties.

Therefore, knowing the Orioles have struggled against lefties and also knowing how well the Red Sox have been hitting the baseball, I'm going to grab the Red Sox -.5 in the first five innings at -115.

The Red Sox need to get the series win and can rely on Rich Hill to provide a solid start in this one.

Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

• Red Sox -.5 F5 (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)

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