Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction: Can We Trust Cal Quantrill With Our Bills?
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction: Can We Trust Cal Quantrill With Our Bills?
Guardians vs. Royals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: May 31, 2022
- Game Time: 6:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
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Guardians vs. Royals Line Movement
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Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction
1u - Cal Quantrill Under 6.5 Hits Allowed (-165) (Bet $165 to win $100)
*Odds Available at DraftKings at Time of Publishing*
This is probably the most juice I’ll ever lay on a single bet but I just need this on the card today. Quantrill is better than he gets credit for and he is especially good at home. This year he holds a 3.06 home ERA and last year had an impressive 2.35 home ERA in nearly 100 innings pitched. He has started 30 games in the last two seasons and is 25/30 on the under here. I know -165 isn’t many people's favorite thing to take but it’s worth it if the bet is hitting at an 83.3% hit rate.
On the year Quantrill is 7/8 on the under with the only team with 7+ hits against him being the lethal White Sox. He has successfully stayed under this number against the Giants, Angels, Astros, and Yankees among other teams, these are all teams that would intimidate me much more than Kansas City and he has held them in check. His first start of the year was actually against the Royals and he only allowed four hits, much lower than the seven needed to break our heart tonight.
Quantrill has allowed 18 hits in 88 at-bats to these Kansas City batters. A hit in about every five batters bodes well for us. I wouldn't imagine he faces 35 batters considering there are 27 outs and baseball and the most innings he has pitched all year is seven. At the most, he faces maybe 25-28 batters and I think that should put him around the 5 or 6 hits given up range at the very most. If he gets shelled early we have seen him allow 4 or 5 hits in one inning and get removed entirely, so this bet has the upside of him playing very well and very poorly to cash us. We just cant let him coast averagely and get shelled late in his start, I like our odds here.
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