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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is here with his prediction and pick for Tuesday night's New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals NL East clash from Citi Field.
ANALYSIS

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Prediction: Will the Mets Bats Continue to Explode?

Despite trailing 3-0 before even getting a chance to swing the bat, the New York Mets eventually defeated the Washington Nationals, 13-5 in the first game of the home series.

The Mets have jumped out to a massive lead in the NL East and the Washington Nationals have been diving down the standings ever since the season began. How will tonight's game play out? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Tuesday's game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets.

Mets vs. Nationals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: May 31, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: SNY, MASN

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Mets vs. Phillies Injury Report

Mets

Out: C James McCann (Wrist)

Nationals

Out: OF Ehire Adrianza (Quadriceps), 3B Carter Kieboom (Elbow)

Mets vs. Nationals Line Movement

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Prediction

New York was so impressed by Trevor Williams in his last appearance against the San Francisco Giants, that he will now get the start for tonight's game. Williams has a 4.37 ERA with an 0-3 record. However, he’s been much better recently and probably deserves the start tonight.

In the last 30 days, Williams has had a respectable 4.02 xFIP with 28.8% of strikeouts. He also has allowed just 5.5% of walks in the last 30 days. Williams is allowing some power to righties with an ISO of .233 in the last 30 days, but for the most part, Williams has been very solid in relief, mopping up bad pitching throughout the year.

On the other hand, Washington has a .150 ISO and wOBA of .329 against righties in the last 30 days. The only problem with Washington is that they’re hitting close to 50% of ground balls and only have just three players hitting 21% of line drives or higher against righties in the last 30 days. The Nationals have been able to keep strikeouts down but don’t walk at a very high rate.

The Nationals will hope that Patrick Corbin can stay on track. He got a win in his last start and is now 1-7 to start the year along with a 6.30 ERA. Corbin has a 4.74 xFIP with 14.2% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. He hasn’t been nearly as bad as his ERA in the last 30 days but has allowed a .345 wOBA to righties with an ISO of .223 to righties.

The Mets are clearly heating up right now. But, against lefties, it's just not the same. The offense only has a .165 ISO and wOBA of .289 against lefties in the last 30 days. New York has also had their struggles against Corbin, who keeps them off-balanced a lot of the time. In nine innings pitched, Corbin has allowed just two runs against the Mets this season.

If the Mets can remain patient, they'll get on base and create some havoc. But overall, Corbin has had their number and continues to pitch better against the Mets than most teams. There's reason to think Corbin could put together a good enough outing to keep the total under.

Williams can do the same.

I'll ride with the under knowing that both teams will need to combine for 10 runs to beat us.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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