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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Thursday's slate. He breaks down two parlays for us here.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Thursday: Cash In With This Expert's +647 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays with one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+338) (Bet $100 to win $338)

  • Blue Jays (-195)
  • Reds (-135)
  • Braves (-150)

The Blue Jays will send out Alek Manoah, who recently has been on a tear. He's having a ton of success on the mound and will take on a White Sox lineup that has had little success against righties in the last 30 days with low power numbers and low walk numbers. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays match up well against Johnny Cueto, with four players hitting for high wOBA and a high ISO against righties in the last 30 days. Back the Blue Jays.

The Reds have at least been competitive. The Nationals have ultimately looked like the worst team in baseball. The Reds have a .340 wOBA against righties in the last 30 days and should have success against Joan Adon, who has a 5.82 xFIP in the last 30 days. Meanwhile, Graham Ashcraft will take the mound for the Reds and while he hasn't been elite either, he's earning 58.3% of ground balls and limiting line drives since earning a spot in the rotation. I like the Reds a lot more in this game, at home.

The Braves have destroyed lefties with their projected lineup. The Braves have a .272 ISO and wOBA of .360 with 15.8% of walks. That's just unbelievable stuff and they'll now take on Austin Gomber, who is a lefty coming off his worst start of the season last week. Meanwhile, the Rockies will take on Ian Anderson of the Braves and they have a .088 ISO and wOBA of .293 against righties in the last 30 days. I'll trust the Braves lineup in Coors Field.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks +647 (Bet $100 to win $647)

  • Mariners vs. Orioles Over 9 (+100)
  • Padres vs. Brewers Over 8.5 (+100)
  • Mets vs Dodgers Over 8.5 (-115)

The Mariners will send out Chris Flexen, who has had a 5.79 xFIP in the last 30 days. He won't overpower you and has low strikeouts, high walks, low grounders, and high line drives. Usually, these stats result in not-so-good performances. On the other hand, Jordan Lyles has been better recently but still allows solid power from righties. Ty France, Eugenio Suarez, and Julio Rodriguez all match up well here. Take the over.

Adrian Houser will get the call for the Brewers. He's allowing 24.7% of line drives and has been rocked by lefties with a .350 wOBA and ISO of .174 in his last 52 plate appearances against lefties. The Padres have a balanced lineup while hitting 23.1% of line drives in the last 30 days. On the other hand, Sean Manaea has been very good but still giving up 41.2% of hard contact. That's going to catch up. The Brewers always find ways to stick around in games. If both teams add four runs, we're cashing this over.

The Dodgers have an elite lineup against righties. Against Taijuan Walker, the Dodgers should have plenty of success offensively. However, the Mets will limit strikeouts on their side of things against Tony Gonsolin and if New York strings some hits together, they'll stick around against the Dodgers in tonight's game. Back the over between the two best National League teams.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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