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Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is back with his top MLB player prop bet for Friday. This time his pick comes from the Miami Marlins vs. San Fransisco Giants game with his sights set on Giants starting pitcher Alex Cobb.
ANALYSIS

Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Best Bet: Will Alex Cobb Mow Down the Marlins?

We're starting early tonight people. Well, as early as we can. We're talking 6:40 pm ET in Miami at loanDepot Park. The San Francisco Giants are taking on the Miami Marlins and I think there's gold in this one. The beauty of this move is not only is it an early evening banger to get the Friday night going, it's also featuring the poster boy for the Slop Circle of Trust. I know Austin Gomber made a strong push for that last night but our guy tonight will likely get home without giving up nine earned runs in the process. As impressive as it was to give up nine en route to a victory last night, I think it's best if we just don't see our guy do that again. If you remember last Saturday, this absolute stud started the day off in style so if he does it again tonight, we may have found our leadoff guy. Let's hope that's the case.

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Marlins vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSFL, NBCSBA

Click Here for Marlins vs Giants Odds

Marlins vs. Giants Line Movement

Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Alex Cobb Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+104) (Bet $100 to win $104)

*Odds Available at FanDuel at Time of Publishing*

I went to FanDuel for this banger since DraftKings has +100 for the same number. BetMGM must be in cahoots with DraftKings since they have the exact same number and price. It's not that I hate the even money, it's fine. It's just that if you can get +104 you always just take the better price. It makes sense and we all know it.

Alex Cobb. I've been waiting for this guy to hit a softer schedule and we've gotten to that point. Since his Tampa Bay days, I've been a Cobb guy, so let's not act like he's new. He's been a Circle of Trust guy that the books have never been able to price correctly. He's a wild man that's hard to pin down. Hard to be mad at him for that.

This season he's been very good despite being matched up with teams that don't really strike out. We're talking about the New York Mets (twice), Colorado Rockies (twice), St. Louis Cardinals, and Washington Nationals. That's insane. That's six of his eight starts so far. He still got home on this number in three of those six starts. In his other two starts that happened to be against "regular" teams, he whiffed at least eight both times.

Tonight our boy Cobb is getting a "regular" team in the Miami Marlins. They don't strike out all the time but they do strike out. That's all we're asking for here people. The Marlins are a 26% strikeout team at home so far this season. The way I see it, if we can get a lineup with Jesus Sanchez, Bryan De La Cruz, Avisail Garcia, Jesus Aguilar, Jazz Chisholm, and/or Jacob Stallings, we should see Cobb do some damage. We only need six here people.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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