Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Can the Giants Find Offense in Second Game of Series?
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Can the Giants Find Offense in Second Game of Series?
The Miami Marlins shut out the San Francisco Giants in the first game of the series, winning 3-0 at home. The Marlins pitched Sandy Alcantara, who has been elite this year. However, tonight's pitcher for the Marlins hasn't been anywhere close to Alcantara's level.
Does that mean the Giants will find their offense again tonight? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the San Francisco Giants and Miami Marlins.
Marlins vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: June 3, 2022
- Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: BSFL, NBCSBA
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Marlins vs. Giants Injury Report
Marlins
Questionable: OF Garrett Cooper (Side)
Out: 3B Brian Anderson (Back), 3B Joey Wendle (Hamstring)
Giants
Questionable: SS Brandon Crawford (Illness), 3B Evan Longoria (Shoulder)
Out: OF Steven Duggar (Oblique), OF LaMonte Wade (Knee), 1B Brandon Belt (Knee), OF Luis Matos (Quadriceps) OF Darin Ruf (Personal), OF Austin Slater (Wrist)
Marlins vs. Giants Line Movement
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction
The Miami Marlins likely aren't getting another Sandy Alcantara-type performance tonight. Elieser Hernandez will take the hill for the Marlins with a 5.77 ERA on the season. He's 2-5 on the year and has a 5.99 xFIP in the last 30 days.
Hernandez is also striking out just 19% of batters in the last 30 days with 7.6% of walks. He's rarely earning ground balls and is giving up a wOBA of .395 with an ISO of .357 in the last 30 days to lefties. Righties are doing well too with a .346 wOBA and ISO of .368 in the last 30 days.
The Giants are also above-average against righties, hitting a .195 ISO and wOBA of .321 in the last 30 days with their projected lineup. Plus, San Francisco is only striking out 17.4% of the time against righties in the last 30 days.
On the other hand, Alex Cobb will take the hill. He's been so much better than advertised. Cobb has a 5.73 ERA but that doesn't tell the full story. In the last 30 days, Cobb has had a 2.59 xFIP with 28.9% of strikeouts and 6.1% of walks.
He just has a BABIP of .380 in the last 30 days with 62.2% of ground balls. Eventually, those ground balls will find gloves for easy-outs.
Cobb has allowed some power to righties, with a .174 ISO in his last 72 plate appearances against righties but ultimately, Cobb deserves a little more respect for what he's done on the diamond. Things will start to turn in his favor. His analytics basically proves that he's been pitching like an ace and he has a 5.73 ERA on the season.
Therefore, I'm taking the Giants on the moneyline against the Marlins. Hernandez's xFIP is more than three points worse than Cobb's and yet the Giants, who are a winning ballclub, are just a -150 favorite.
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Pick
- Giants (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.