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Handicapper Ben Rajavuori is here with his best MLB bet for Sunday. He breaks down ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball game between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Best Bet: Will Adam Wainwright Dominate Sunday Night Baseball?

It's another Night of Sunday Night Baseball, and we have a rubber match between the Cardinals and Cubs. The series is split 2-2, with the Cardinals winning 7-4 yesterday in extra innings. The series will be settled in the lone game tonight. Who will take the series closer and the series?

Cubs vs. Cardinals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

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Cubs vs. Cardinals Line Movement

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

40-year-old Adam Wainwright gets the nod for the Cardinals tonight, and the veteran is off to another fantastic season so far. Wainwright has been with the Cardinals since 2005, and his 2.75 ERA is the lowest he has had since 2015. Wainwright is coming off a start against the Padres, where he went seven scoreless innings. Wainwright went the month of May with a 1.69 ERA and has looked truly dominant.

Wainwright has seen the Cubs many times. In fact, Wainwright has pitched against the Cubs more than any other team in the league. He has 53 total games against the Cubs and 44 starts. In those 53 games, he has a 17-13 record and a 3.93 ERA, and he has been even more dominant as of late. Wainwright's last three starts against the Cubs were seven innings with one earned run, eight innings with zero earned runs, and 6.1 innings with two earned runs. Wainwright knows this Cubs team and has handled them for 17 years now, and I expect him to have another quality start tonight.

The Cubs will send out Justin Steele to face the Cardinals, and one thought immediately comes to mind: Cardinals facing a lefty. The Cardinals have absolutely crushed left-handed pitching this year. This is primarily due to their righty-heavy lineup that currently only features one true left-handed bat and one switch-hitter. The Cardinals are first in the MLB with a .801 OPS versus left-handed pitching and only have a .706 OPS off right-handed pitching. This righty-heavy lineup that crushes lefties now faces Justin Steele, who has a 5.4 ERA and has struggled this year.

This year, Steele has just one quality start in ten appearances and has a 6.16 ERA in five starts at night this season. Steele has one start against the Cardinals in his short career, and he allowed six runs in just five innings. The Cardinals lineup has proven to be tough against him, and it's mainly due to the righty-heavy lineup. It's a bad matchup for him, and the Cardinals should be able to get to him early again with hot bats.

This is a classic example of not overthinking it. The Cardinals match up very well against left-handed pitching, and Wainwright has dominated the Cubs over his extensive career. This is a pretty good line without much juice on the first-half line, and I like the Cardinals to be up after five innings tonight.

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick

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Article Author


Ben Rajavuori is a handicapper out of Minneapolis, MN. He has been creating sports content for almost four years now and is an expert in all things NFL, MLB, NBA, UFC, and NCAAB. Ben thrives on diving deep into statistics to find the best angle on every bet. You can follow him on Twitter @WeBeatTheSpread.


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