San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Prediction: Can the Mets Continue Their Momentum on the Road?
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Prediction: Can the Mets Continue Their Momentum on the Road?
After a series split against the Dodgers, the Mets have to feel good about where they stand right now. However, there's no time to celebrate. The Mets are now headed to San Diego to take on the Padres, who have also been very good this year.
The Padres earned a 3-1 series win over a solid Milwaukee Brewers team and will now look for a three-game series win over the Mets. How will the first game of the series play out? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Monday's game between the San Diego Padres and New York Mets.
Padres vs. Mets Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: June 6, 2022
- Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
- Where to Watch: SNY, BSSD
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Padres vs. Mets Injury Report
Mets
Out: C James McCann (Wrist), OF Travis Jankowski (Hand)
Padres
Out: 1B Matt Beaty (Shoulder), OF Will Myers (Knee), SS Fernando Tatis (Wrist)
Padres vs. Mets Line Movement
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Prediction
The New York Mets will look to keep their momentum on the road with Carlos Carrasco on the mound. Throughout the year, Carrasco has had some really good moments. That's helped him be 6-1 with a 3.63 ERA to start the season. In the last 30 days, Carrasco has a 4.12 xFIP with just 6% of walks. Both of those numbers are above-average in the league.
However, with the good comes the bad for every pitcher. Carrasco has been a bit unlucky with a .369 BABIP in the last 30 days and has allowed a wOBA of .413 to righties in his last 54 plate appearances. However, he is still getting 51.8% of ground balls in that same time frame.
Carrasco should have success against this Padres ball club. Against righties, the Padres' lineup has struggled, hitting a .130 ISO and wOBA of .288 with their projected lineup against righties. The Padres have struck out 23.1% of the time in the last 30 days against righties and are walking just 6.7% of the time in that same time frame. Both are below-average numbers.
On the other hand, Blake Snell will get the call for the Padres. The lefty has a 5.04 xFIP in the last 30 days with 13.3% of walks. He's only appeared in three games so far this season and in those three games, Snell has allowed a .188 BABIP with just 29.4% of ground balls. Those numbers will resort back to the mean, however, Snell is earning 30% of strikeouts, which has helped him keep damage to a minimum. He has an ERA of 4.80 on the season. Without those strikeouts, he would be doomed right now.
He still might be doomed tonight too. With their projected lineup, the Mets have hit lefties well this season, earning a .177 ISO and wOBA of .359 in the last 30 days. The Mets are also striking out 18.9% of the time in those 30 days against lefties and walking over 10% of the time.
Against lefties, the Mets are also hitting 28.9% of line drives and hitting under 39.4% of ground balls. This is a good matchup against Snell, who just hasn't looked 100 percent since coming back from injury.
Therefore, I'm riding with the Mets in this pick-em game.
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Pick
- Mets (-110) (Bet $110 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.