Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets Prediction: Will the Mets and Tylor Megill Stall the Angels Momentum?

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets Prediction: Will the Mets and Tylor Megill Stall the Angels Momentum?

The New York Mets lost a road series to the San Diego Padres over the week and fell to 38-21 on the season. However, don't feel bad for the Mets. The Angels just ended a 14-game losing streak after defeating the Red Sox last night with Shohei Ohtani on the mound.

With Mike Trout potentially out for the Angels and Pete Alonso and Starling Marte potentially out for the Mets, how will tonight's game play out? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the Los Angeles Angels and New York Mets.

Angels vs. Mets Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: June 10, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
• Where to Watch: Apple TV+

Angels vs. Mets Injury Report

Mets

Questionable: 1B Pete Alonso (Hand), OF Starling Marte (Quadriceps)

Out: C James McCann (Wrist), OF Travis Jankowski (Hand)

Angels

Questionable: OF Mike Trout (Groin)

Out: 2B David Fletcher (Hip), 3B Anthony Rendon (Wrist), SS Luis Rengifo (Personal), Taylor Ward (Hamstring)

Angels vs. Mets Line Movement

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets Prediction

The Los Angeles Angels haven't confirmed a starter but I can confirm that Jhonathan Diaz was scratched from his scheduled start in Triple-A yesterday. That would likely mean that he'll be the starter for the Angels in tonight's opener against the Mets.

Diaz has already thrown 13.2 innings in the big leagues this season and has allowed eight hits and two runs in three games.

His ERA is currently 2.70 and he has a 2-0 record, however, in the last 30 days, the lefty has a 5.71 xFIP. He's also struck out just 17.6% of batters and has walked 11.8% of batters in that time frame. The sample size is small at just 34 batters but overall. he's getting 50% of grounders and limiting line drives to 4.2%. That's allowed him to have a BABIP of .174 which probably isn't sustainable.

The Mets, on the other hand, have a .118 ISO and wOBA of .334 against lefties in the last 30 days. New York is hitting 28.1% of line drives and striking out just 17.2% in that time frame, but ultimately, without Alonso and Marte in the lineup, the projected lineup just lacks power. Still, the Mets can get on base and create runs with this lineup.

Tylor Megill will make his first start since an injury about a month ago. Megill had a 4-2 record with a 4.41 ERA before getting injured. On the season, the right-hander has a 3.76 xFIP with 25.7% of strikeouts and 6.3% of walks. He was above-average and will take on a below-average, slumping Angels lineup.

In the last 30 days, the Angels have had a .165 ISO and wOBA of .308. But if you take away Shohei Ohtani, Max Stassi, and Jared Walsh, the Angels lineup is complete garbage analytically. We're also assuming Trout will not play in tonight's game.

Therefore, I still believe the Angels aren't a good baseball team anymore. Sure, they won last night, but overall, this team lost 14 straight games with brutal hitting and pitching, which was a disaster at times.

I'll take the Mets, on the road, to get the first game of the series.

Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Mets Pick

• Mets (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)

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