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One of my favorite players to bet on last year makes his return, who doesn’t love a little reunion? Here's my best bet for Saturday's Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland Athletics matchup on FS1 focused on A's starting pitcher Frankie Montas

Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction: Can Frankie Montas Go Deep In Cleveland?

Guardians vs. Athletics Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: FS1

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Guardinas vs. Athletics Line Movement

Cleveland Guardians vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction

1u - Frankie Montas Over 17.5 Outs (-150) (Bet $150 to win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings*

This is the perfect number for us. I wouldn’t touch 18.5 with a ten-foot pole but this is nice. Montas could really go exactly six innings here and has familiarity against these batters. Frankie is 9/11 on these props in games he didn't leave early. Against the Angels on May 21st he seemed on his way to doing so again but left with a hand injury. The other two misses came in outings where he allowed 5 earned runs in each game. So we’ve yet to see Frankie allow 4 or less runs and exit without pitching at least 6 innings.

Oakland loves this guy, even when they were sellers they kept him which everyone found head-scratching but he’s certainly helping his trade value this year. So Cleveland was one of the two teams already to make him only go 5 innings but it will very difficult to replicate their performance against a pitcher of this caliber.

Montas has just over a 3 ERA and I personally see him making the adjustments needed to go at least one more inning here. Cleveland also strikes out the least in MLB so I'm anticipating more groundouts than we’re accustomed to seeing out of him because he’s typically a strikeout guy.

Paul Blackburn just went 8 innings yesterday so the bullpen should be rested but if Montas is pitching well then they will certainly allow him to go at least 6. He has pitched at least 95+ in 8 of his last 9 and the only miss was the game he left early due to injury. We need to average around 16-17 pitches per inning and I don’t find that to be asking for too much. If he gets any quick 1,2,3 innings then we can afford a few runs I’m sure as well. For pitching outs I love getting over 17.5 or under 18.5 outs, they seem to historically have the best hit rate and value. Let's drink the juice here and roll!

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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