Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Can the Phillies Win Their Ninth Straight?
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Can the Phillies Win Their Ninth Straight?
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: June 11, 2022
- Game Time: 4:05 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLB.TV
Click Here for Phillies vs Diamondbacks Odds
The two hottest teams in Major League Baseball each reside in the National League East, as only Atlanta's nine-game winning streak is better than the Philadelphia Phillies' eight-game streak at the moment. Perhaps the NL East will be a tight race involving multiple teams after all, but the Braves and Phillies still have work to do, as they are 6.5 and 9.0 games back of the Mets, respectively, entering today.
Philadelphia brings a 29-29 record when they face the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and a win would put them over .500 for the first time since they were 3-2 on April 12. So will the Phillies remain undefeated under interim manager Rob Thomson, or will the Diamondbacks hand him his first managerial loss and end Philadelphia's long winning streak in the process? Read on for our best play and odds for Saturday's National League tilt between the Diamondbacks and Phillies.
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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Line Movement
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
The Phillies are 7-0 under Rob Thomson, and he is the first manager to win his first seven games since Felipe Alou went 7-0 with the Giants in 2003. With yesterday's 7-5 victory, Philadelphia has won eight consecutive games for the first time since Aug. 1-8, 2021.
Philadelphia has scored 60 runs during its season-high eight-game winning streak. A lot of that success is due to a power surge, as Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber, and Odubel Herrera each homered in their series finale against Milwaukee on Thursday. Schwarber followed up with another home run yesterday, and teammate Rhys Hoskins added two. Thus, the Phillies are getting contributions from all over the lineup, which should pose a problem for Arizona starter Madison Bumgarner (2-5, 3.64).
The long ball has burned Bumgarner over the last three seasons. His 2.8 HR/9 rate in 2020, 1.5 in 2021, and current 1.5 HR/9 rates are the three worst rates since he allowed 1.8 home runs per nine innings in his rookie year of 2009. That does not bode well against a Phillies lineup whose 25 home runs rank second only to Minnesota and Texas over the last 14 days. Bumgarner threw a season-high 108 pitches over five innings in his previous outing, and we expect the Phillies lineup to make him work hard again this afternoon.
The Phillies counter with Zack Wheeler (4-3, 3.14), who has pitched much more like the man who finished second in the Cy Young voting last year than he did to start the season. Wheeler is 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his previous seven starts, and his 11.4 K/9 rate in that span is among the league's best. Philadelphia's winning streak will not last forever, but we do not expect it to end with a pitcher as hot as Wheeler on the mound.
The Phillies have won five straight home games and are 8-3 in their last 11 home games against left-handed starting pitchers. Philadelphia's -235 moneyline odds are steep, so we will back its -115 run line odds for better value.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick
- Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 Runs (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)
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