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Handicapper and MLB expert Jason Radowitz is here with his prediction and best bet for Saturday night's San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers NL West clash on Fox. Will the Dodgers even the series after dropping the opener?
ANALYSIS

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction: Will the Dodgers Offense Dominate Saturday?

If you like rivalry baseball, you're going to want to tune into tonight's game between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Giants defeated the Dodgers in the first game of the series, 7-2. However, the Dodgers are still ahead of the Giants in the NL West standings by 5.5 games.

With Clayton Kershaw expected to make his return from the injured list, can the Dodgers steal one back on the road tonight? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Saturday's game between the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers.

Giants vs. Dodgers Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: FOX

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Giants vs. Dodgers Injury Report

Dodgers

Out: 1B Edwin Rios (Hamstring)

Giants

Questionable: 2B Tommy La Stella (Back), 3B Evan Longoria (Hamstring)

Out: OF Steven Duggar (Oblique), OF LaMonte Wade (Knee), 1B Brandon Belt (Knee), OF Luis Matos (Quadriceps),

Giants vs. Dodgers Line Movement

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Tonight, we'll have a lefty taking on a lefty. The Giants will pitch a subpar lefty in Sam Long. Despite having a 2.35 ERA on the season, Long has just 10 strikeouts in 15.1 innings this year.

In the last 30 days, using a short sample size of 18 batters, Long has had a 5.98 xFIP with 11.1% of strikeouts and 11.1% of walks. Still, his BABIP is down to .071 through 18 plate appearances with 50% of ground balls and 7.1% of line drives allowed.  

Meanwhile, the Dodgers have destroyed lefties lately, with a .217 ISO and wOBA of .378 in the last 30 days. In the lineup, only two batters have a low ISO and wOBA number against lefties. Those two batters are Freddie Freeman and Cody Bellinger, who both get a pass because they're lefties.

Using the projected lineup in the last 30 days, the Dodgers have struck out just 17.6% of the time against lefties and have walked 11.3% of the time. 

On the other hand, Clayton Kershaw will return to the mound from the injured list. He hasn’t pitched in the last 30 days, but on the season, he has a 3.09 xFIP with 29.4% of strikeouts and 2.8% of walks. The consistency of Kershaw was enormous. Kershaw has a 4-0 record with a 1.80 ERA this season.

The Giants have a solid lineup. In the last 30 days, the Giants have a .183 ISO and wOBA of .324 against lefties. However, the Giants also strike out 24% of the time and are only hitting 17.2% of line drives against lefties in those same 30 days.

The only two real sluggers in the lineup include Darin Ruf and Evan Longoria. Other batters with potential include Mike Yastrzemski, Brandon Crawford, and Thairo Estrada. But overall, you can't expect much out of this lineup against Clayton Kershaw.

But still, with that said, I'm not looking to fade this Giants lineup. They can potentially do damage against Kershaw, who hasn't been on an MLB mound in over a month.

Therefore, I'll grab the Dodgers Over 2.5 in the first five innings team total at +100.

San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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