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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Tuesday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Tuesday: Cash In With This Expert's +529 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+237) (Bet $100 to win $237)

  • Braves (-225)
  • Red Sox (-220)
  • Guardians (-165)

We don't have the longest odds today. But this will do. The Braves have been red hot recently, winning 12 straight games. Tonight, they'll take on Jackson Tetreault. I don't think the Braves will struggle against Tetreault in his debut game. He has a 4.19 ERA in the minors this season through 12 starts and has allowed 10 home runs in those 12 games. Meanwhile, the Braves will pitch Max Fried, who has a 3.67 xFIP in the last 30 days with high strikeouts and low walks. Give me Atlanta.

The Red Sox will take on a young lefty in Jared Koenig. He has one start under his belt in the major leagues and struggled badly with a WHIP of 1.75. The Red Sox have crushed lefties with a .238 ISO and wOBA of .381 in the last 30 days. Plus, with Nick Pivetta on the mound, the Athletics will more than likely struggle to do much of anything on the offensive end.

I still don't think Shane Bieber is getting the love that he deserves. He has a 2.67 xFIP in the last 30 days with 32.3% of strikeouts and 4% of walks. The Rockies have struggled agaisnt righties in the last 30 days and even with Colorado playing in Coors Field, I like Bieber to have a big game. On the other hand, the Rockies will send out Antonio Senzatela who has allowed 42.2% of line drives in the last 30 days on the mound. The Guardians have so much power in the middle of the order, Senzatela better watch out.

MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks +529 (Bet $100 to win $529)

  • Brewers vs. Mets Over 8 (-115)
  • Astros vs. Rangers Over 8.5 (-115)
  • Twins vs. Mariners Under 7.5 (-125)

Chris Bassitt has been having a hard time recently for the Mets. He has a 4.73 xFIP with 9.1% of walks in the last 30 days. He hasn't received a win in over a month and is giving up a ton of hard contact. The Brewers have a bunch of lefties that can get to Bassitt like Christian Yelich and Rowdy Tellez. Meanwhile, Adrian Houser has a 4.72 xFIP in the last 30 days with 18.1% of strikeouts. Houser is allowing a ton of line drives and will take on a Mets lineup that has a 23.4% line drive rate against righties with their lineup. Take the over.

Jose Urquidy has a 5.28 xFIP with low strikeouts and low ground balls. He's also giving up over 40% of hard contact. Lefties have a .409 wOBA and ISO of .237 while righties have a .404 wOBA and ISO of .274. Urquidy hasn't been good. On the other hand, the Astros are usually good for a handful of runs with a .335 wOBA against righties. Dane Dunning is giving up 46.5% of hard contact. That's going to catch up to him.

We've got two of the best young pitchers in the game squaring off tonight. Joe Ryan is back from an illness and will start today with his 5-2 record and 2.28 ERA. Meanwhile, Logan Gilbert will get the call with his 6-2 record and 2.41 ERA. The Twins have the better lineup but Gilbert hasn't allowed a lot of power in the last 30 days. Ryan likely won't go very deep in this game but he'll shut down the Mariners for a solid portion of the game, which will help keep the total under.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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