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We’ve bet this starting pitcher's outs recorded market a few times and almost always lean the over but today that changes. Here's my best bet for Friday night's Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox clash.

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Prediction: Will Framber Valdez Struggle Against Jose Abreu and Chicago?

Astros vs. White Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 17, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: Apple TV+

Click Here for Astros vs White Sox Odds

Astros vs. White Sox Line Movement

Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

1u - Framber Valdez Under 18.5 Outs (-145) (Bet $145 to win $100)

*Odds Available at DraftKings*

My first lean was White Sox over 1.5 runs in the first five innings but this goes hand in hand. What I like more about this bet is that Valdez has shown that he could get pulled after 6 even when pitching a great game to limit his pitch count. He went six innings against the Rangers but didn’t allow a single earned run. He was pulled at 97 pitches which is surprising because he’s no stranger to going past 100. The White Sox are the best team in the league against left-handed pitching, for this bet we don’t even really care about stranding runners. We just need some long at-bats and some hits to further innings.

Chicago bats .296 against lefties, that’s just uncalled for. A whole team batting near .300 is no fluke, they were doing this type of stuff last year too. White Sox against lefties is my favorite narrative in baseball. I like Framber Valdez, I really do. 18.5 is the perfect number to take the under. Throwing for 6 innings is no joke, we’re not asking him to get shelled which he easily could. All we need is 17 pitches an inning and he’s out of there after a respectable start.

Valdez has hit this in half of his starts but now faves his toughest matchup. If there ever a time for him to get obliterated then it would be tonight. I would not touch this at 17.5 if we see line movement because the odds of him going exactly six innings are so high. The Astros didn’t play yesterday and the day before that got a great outing by their starter. This bullpen should be well-rested and I see no need for them to extend Valdez to 110+ pitches here. This just feels like a perfect bet and we need to attack this White Sox narrative somehow, it’s too good not to.

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Article Author


Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.


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