Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: Back Yordan Alvarez and the Astros

Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: Back Yordan Alvarez and the Astros

The Houston Astros took a stunning loss yesterday, losing to the White Sox 7-0 with Justin Verlander on the mound.

The win from the White Sox tied the series against the Astros at one a piece. Tonight, we'll get a rubber match of a three-game series between these two teams.

Houston is 40-25 on the season while the White Sox are looking to get back to .500 on the year.

Will the White Sox pull off the upset and sneak a series win on the road against Houston? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Sunday's game between the Chicago White Sox and the Houston Astros.

Astros vs. White Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: June 19, 2022
• Game Time: 7:08 pm ET
• Where to Watch: ESPN

Click Here for White Sox vs Astros Odds

Astros vs. White Sox Injury Report

Astros

Questionable: 3B Aledmys Diaz (Shoulder)

Out: OF Jake Meyers (Shoulder), SS Jeremy Pena (Thumb)

White Sox

Questionable: 3B Yoan Moncada (Hamstring), 2B Leury Garica (Side) 

Out: OF SS Tim Anderson (Groin), Eloy Jimenez (Hamstring), C Yasmani Grandal (Back)

Astros vs. White Sox Line Movement

Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

To start the rubber match for the Astros, it'll be Christian Javier for tonight’s game.

The right-hander is 3-3 with a 3.20 ERA on the season. However, In the last 30 days, Javier has had a 4.48 xFIP with 9.3% of walks. Although he’s struck out 30.8% of batters in the last 30 days, Javier has induced just 17.5% of ground balls while giving up 30.2% of line-drive contact in those same 30 days. So you get the best of both worlds with Javier.

The White Sox only have a .106 ISO and wOBA of .310 against righties in the last 30 days with their projected lineup. Chicago has also walked just 6.4% of the time against righties in that same time frame. 

The lone bat that is producing consistently is Jose Abreu, who has a .203 ISO and wOBA of .438. But other than him, the White Sox don’t have another bat that has elevated ISO numbers and elevated wOBA numbers.

On the other hand, it’ll be Michael Kopech for the White Sox, who is 2-2 with a 1.92 ERA.

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But just like Javier, his box score stats aren't the same as his analytic stats. Kopech has had a 4.71 xFIP in the last 30 days with 10.6% of walks. Again, like Javier, Kopech has high strikeout numbers with 28.8% of strikeouts in the last 30 days but also has induced a low number of grounders and has given up a high amount of line drives.

The Astros also really haven’t been consistent against righties in the last 30 days. Only Yordan Alvarez is tearing up the baseball against righties for the Astros with a .294 ISO and wOBA of .518 in the last 30 days. Jose Altuve has a .182 ISO and wOBA of .368 in that same time frame but aside from those two bats, it's been a limited Astros lineup.

But the production should start to heat up a bit as the Astros have hit just 41% of grounders in the last 30 days while also hitting 25.8% of line drives with the projected lineup against righties.

Therefore, I'm going to take the Astros in this game. At -170, the moneyline isn't my favorite option. I would like to believe the Astros can get out to an early lead at home against the White Sox in this game.

Therefore, I'll take the Astros -.5 in the first five innings as the play.

Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox Pick

• Astros -.5 F5 (-115) (Bet $115 to Win $100)

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