Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Should We Bank on Spencer Strider to Stack Up Strikeouts?

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Should We Bank on Spencer Strider to Stack Up Strikeouts?

The Braves and Giants kick off game two from Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia, after an exhilarating series opener. Even though the score ended 1-2, the game had many high-pressure moments, ultimately leading up to the walk-off hit by Orlando Arcia to give the Braves the win. For game two tonight, I don't have a side picked out, but rather a player prop that caught my eye immediately. Let's get into it.

Braves vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: June 21, 2022
• Game Time: 7:20 pm ET
• Where to Watch: TBS

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Braves vs. Giants Line Movement

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Spencer Strider gets the nod for the Braves today, and the youngster has been mostly excellent. Strider is only 23 years old and is 3-2 with a 2.45 ERA on the season with a 1.05 WHIP. Strider has bounced between the bullpen and starting rotation but most recently has found a more permanent spot in the rotation, going over four innings in his last four starts.

Strider keeps it real simple for hitters; you're either going to see a four-seam fastball or a slider. Strider throws his four-seamer 70% of the time and uses the speed to set up his slider, which he throws 25% of the time. That's basically his only two pitches, with a changeup occasionally mixed in 5% of his pitches. However, Strider's pitches are highly effective even with a thin arsenal. Spencer is in the 99th percentile of MLB pitchers in strikeout percentage. His command is also on point, as he is in the 14th percentile for walk rate among MLB pitchers. Spencer also throws his fastball with a 98.4 mph average, and his slider is 85 mph on average. A 13 mph off-speed change makes it tough for batters to time their hit. Opponents are hitting just .179 off Strider's fastball and an even lower .132 off his slider. It's no wonder his strikeout percentage is so high.

Strider has a 39% strikeout rate through 44 innings pitched, which means if he held that average, he would need to go about 5 2/3 innings to cash the over on his strikeout prop set at 6.5 at his current strikeout rate. The Giants hitters have also been striking out well below the MLB average. The Giants are sixth-highest in strikeouts against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days. The Giants have also struck out the seventh-most overall in the MLB over their previous three games. Strider has hit over 6.5 strikeouts in three of his four most recent starts, and he's in an excellent spot to do so again tonight.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

• Spencer Strider Over 6.5 K's (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)

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