Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction: Can Reid Detmers and the Angels Bounce Back?
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction: Can Reid Detmers and the Angels Bounce Back?
The Los Angeles Angels lost to the Kansas City Royals, 6-2 in the first game of a home series. It's getting a bit embarrassing for the Angels after they just lost to a 24-win Royals win.
The Royals are young and have plenty of potential but the Angels have plenty of superstars on a team that was projected to go to the playoffs this season.
Can the Angels get back on track in tonight's game? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Tuesday's game between the Los Angeles Angels and Kansas City Royals.
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Angels vs. Royals Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: June 21, 2022
- Game Time: 9:38 pm ET
- Where to Watch: BSW, BSKC
Click Here for Angels vs Royals Odds
Angels vs. Royals Injury Report
Angels
Out: 2B David Fletcher (Hip), 3B Anthony Rendon (Wrist)
Royals
Out: SS Adalberto Mondesi (Knee), OF Edward Olivares (Quadriceps)
Angels vs. Royals Line Movement
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction
The Los Angeles Angels will call Reid Detmers to the mound for tonight's game. Detmers has had a 6.33 xFIP in the last 30 days with just 17.3% of strikeouts and 11.1% of walks.
Despite all of this, he has a 4.25 ERA and that's likely due to his .245 BABIP in the last 30 days. Detmers has simply been lucky, earning just 33.3% of ground balls while allowing 42.1% of hard contact and over 21% of line-drive contact.
The Royals will have seven righties in the lineup to go up against Detmers, the lefty. Detmers has allowed an ISO of .255 to righties in the last 30 days with a wOBA of .367. The walks get higher against righties and if he's facing more righties, that ultimately means more runners on base for the Royals.
On the other hand, Jon Heasley will take the hill for the Royals. He has a 3.72 ERA on the year but an xFIP of 5.85 in the last 30 days. If you think Detmers has been lucky, Heasley has been even luckier.
Heasley has earned just 20.3% of strikeouts and has allowed 11% of walks in the last 30 days. He's also inducing just 32.5% of ground balls while allowing 40% of hard contact in that time frame.
Lefties have a .4 ISO and wOBA of .303 against Heasley in his last 77 plate appearances. Shohei Ohtani, Jared Walsh, and four other batters will be hitting from the left side against Heasley using the projected lineup. Meanwhile, the righties in the order will be Taylor Ward, Mike Trout, and Max Stassi, who all have had high ISO numbers and have had high wOBA against righties in the last 30 days.
Therefore, I like the over to hit in this game with two pitchers who have escaped a ton of damage. This type of pitching, for both pitchers, is really unsustainable.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals Pick
- Over 9 (-105) (Bet $105 to Win $100)
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Article Author
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.