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Handicapper and MLB player prop specialist John Hyslop is back again this Wednesday with another top strikeout prop bet to add. This time his pick comes from the Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants matchup eyeing veteran right-hander Charlie Morton.

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Will Charlie Morton Mow Down Joc Pederson and the Giants?

I was going over the card again for tonight and one thing stuck out. Up until right now, I only have one play. To make matters worse, it doesn't even start until 7:20 pm ET. That's horrible. Especially when you consider the fact that there is legit baseball on in the afternoon today. Lucky for us there was still time to fix it when I noticed. It's been a long day, and things happen. I'm still waiting for lineups to come out for the ladder guys on the strikeout watch list so there is that. All three guys could be in play tonight. We don't know that they won't be. But what if all three guys are not in play. What if the managers pull what the Miami Marlins did last night and throw ringers at us? We'll be ready this time because I found a +120 move more than worth hammering (probably). This could be a special night.

Braves vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 22, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:20 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

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Braves vs. Giants Line Movement

Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Charlie Morton Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+120) (Bet $100 to Win $120)

*Odds Available at DraftKings*

We're at DraftKings for this one because they're giving out the best price. FanDuel isn't far behind with +116 so there is that but at the end of the day, +120 wins here. Obviously part of FanDuel's allure is the ladder oppos and they have a good one with 8+ (+230). That's always in play even though I feel like we're already laddering with the seven Ks we need to hit.

Morton is a guy that I don't normally play because his number is too high. I hate asking a guy to sit seven guys down in one game. It just feels like a lot. Still, if anyone can hit this number it's Morton. On the season he's sitting at 75 strikeouts in only 67.1 innings of work so he has the numbers for consideration. I usually green-light the guys that have more punch-outs than innings pitched. It's just how I roll.

The thing with Morton is I feel like we're getting a break here because of how he's been doing lately. Before the month of June rolled around, he only hit this number one time in 10 starts. Not great. But in three June starts, he's gone over seven strikeouts in every one. He even went as high as 12 against the Pittsburgh Pirates in one of those starts. It looks like the opponent really hasn't played a role either which is good since he fanned eight Colorado Rockies at Coors Field in his first June start.

Even though the opponent really hasn't factored in (except against the Pirates), it's nice to know he's got a soft target tonight in the San Francisco Giants. They've struck out 10th most on the road this season (26%) and over the last 15 days only five teams have struck out more in all venues. They've legit got seven guys that could be in the lineup tonight that have fanned at least 25% of the time over the last two weeks. As much as I hate going over 6.5, I feel like Morton is good for it. Feels right.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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