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New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros prediction and pick for Thursday's game between the two AL rivals. The Astros are looking to gain ground in the AL, can they get started today? Jason Radowitz takes a look.
ANALYSIS

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Prediction: Can the Astros Gain Ground in the American League?

The New York Yankees added another come-from-behind win to their resume after defeating the Rays, 5-4. The Yankees now have 51 wins on the season and will host the Houston Astros in a new series tonight. The Astros are 43-25 on the season but have proven to be one of the best teams in the American League. The regular season won't be the last time you see these two teams meet.

Anyway, can the Astros gain some ground in the American League with a win over the Yankees? Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday’s game between the New York Yankees and Houston Astros.

Yankees vs. Astros Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLBN

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Yankees vs. Astros Injury Report

Yankees

Out: RP Aroldis Chapman (Achillies)

Astros

Questionable: 3B Aledmys Diaz (Shoulder)

Out: OF Jake Meyers (Shoulder), SS Jeremy Pena (Thumb)

Yankees vs. Astros Line Movement

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Prediction

The Yankees will pitch Jameson Taillon for tonight's series opener. Taillon has an 8-1 record with a 2.70 ERA on the season. In the last 30 days, however, he has had an xFIP of 3.70 with 22.2% of strikeouts. He's also walked just 3.4% of batters in that time frame. Taillon has struggled a bit against lefties when it comes to power, however. Lefties have a .224 ISO against Taillon in their last 52 plate appearances against him. Taillon has also allowed 25.3% of line drives in that same time frame against both righties and lefties. Although, lefties have 28.2% of line drives against Taillon in those 30 days. The Astros have a .167 ISO and wOBA of .320 against righties in the last 30 days. Yordan Alvarez, a left-handed slugger, has a .302 ISO and wOBA of .503 against righties in those 30 days. He's one to watch out for against Taillon, who, again, has allowed a lot of power to lefties recently.

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Meanwhile, Framber Valdez will get the start for the Astros. He's 7-3 with a 2.78 ERA on the season. He also has a 3.64 xFIP with 21.6% of strikeouts and 6.7% of walks in the last 30 days. In that same time frame, Valdez has induced over 70% of ground balls and has allowed less than 15% of line drives. He's also taking on a Yankees projected lineup that has struck out 28.2% of the time against lefties. There are plenty of power bats in the lineup for the Yankees between Anthony Rizzo, Josh Donaldson, Gleybar Torres, and Kyle Higashioka. All four of those batters are hitting at least a .286 ISO against lefties. However, all but two batters in the Yankees lineup have struck out 20% of the time or greater against lefties in the last 30 days. Therefore, I like how Valdez matches up more than Taillon and will bet the Astros as underdogs at +115 for tonight's series opener.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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