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Thursday evening features a small three-game MLB slate. Fret not, betting expert Brian Matthews is here with a +1350 longshot pick to make your night.

Thursday MLB Best Bet (+1350): Relying on Yordan Alvarez, Tim Anderson, and More

We went three out of four on the Wednesday "why not?" parlay. Brandon Drury stood between us and an epic celebration. The MLB slate is a little smaller today, so we’ll dial it down a little for this edition of the "Why Not?" parlay.

I’ve got three players I like in the total bases market that I’m eyeing, as well as two players to record a hit. I’m going to parlay them together with a few dollars to see if we can’t have a great night. Three players needing two bases a piece and two players needing one hit each at +1350 odds. Why not?

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Thursday MLB Parlay Pick: +1350 (Bet $100 to Win $1350)

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Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros: 2 total bases (+100)

Alvarez is on a tear. He has hit 4 home runs in his last four games. He’s had two total bases in four of his last five games and seven of his last ten. Let’s stick with the hot bat plus odds.

Tim Anderson, Chicago White Sox: 2 Total Bases (-125)

Anderson has two or hits in seven of his last ten games – that is impressive. He’s gone over 1.5 total bases in his last two games and seven of his last ten games. He is batting .333 against right-handed pitchers.

Ryan Mountcastle, Baltimore Orioles: 2 Total Bases (+105)

Mountcastle has had the hot bat lately, going over 1.5 total bases in seven of his last eight games (eight of his last ten games). Johnny Cueto allows right-handed batters to hit .276 off him, and Mountcastle looks to be in a good spot again tonight.

Michael Brantley, Houston Astros: To Get 1+ Hit (-260)

Brantley has a hit in nine of his last ten games. He is also batting .290 against right-handed pitchers and is 2 for 6 against Jameson Taillon in his career. Brantley has now had at least 1 hit in 80% of his last 30 games.

Andrew Vaughn, Chicago White Sox: To Get 1+ Hit (-260)

Vaughn is another player with a hot bat. He has at least one hit in ten of his last eleven games and 73% of his last 30 games. He’s batting .317 off right-handed pitchers and Kremer has been weaker against right-handed batters.

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Article Author


Born in Southern California, Brian lives and breathes sports.  He comes from a football family, with a number of family members who played professionally.  While Brian didn’t play professionally, he took his insights and dominated off the field. In fact, during the 2021 NFL season, his bets and parlays returned a whopping 117.84 units. Specializing in data analysis, Brian takes a unique approach to his NFL, NBA, and MLB bets. You can find him on Twitter at @the_bmatt.


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