Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Can Michael Kopech Limit Cedric Mullins And The O’s?
Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Can Michael Kopech Limit Cedric Mullins And The O’s?
White Sox vs. Orioles Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: June 24, 2022
- Game Time: 8:10 pm ET
- Where to Watch: MLBTV
Click here for White Sox vs. Orioles Odds
White Sox vs. Orioles Line Movement
1u - Michael Kopech u2.5 Earned Runs (-120) (Bet $120 to win $100)
I’m such a fan of Michael Kopech, I think he has such a bright future and he’s already showing us how good he could be one day. This isn’t a Kopech will be good in few years article though, we care about tonight and tonight only. Kopech faces a Baltimore team who only hits righties at a .229 clip. Baltimore is definitely less easy to pick on than in previous years but they still have their weaknesses and I expect them to struggle tonight. Kopech has 2 earned runs or less in 9/12 starts, not bad whatsoever.
A 75% hit rate is great but let's get into why we expect it to happen a 10th time. The three misses were against the Astros, Yankees, and BlueJays who are all significantly scarier than the Orioles. Kopech has yet to have two bad starts in a row and he got pretty bad in his last start against Houston. I think this is a perfect bounce back spot for him. The 26-year-old righty has a 2.38 ERA and looks to be filling in as the top pitcher alongside Dylan Cease in filling the void of Rodons departure. Kopech has yet to allow 3+ runs to a bottom 15 team in runs scored let alone a team in the bottom 10 like Baltimore.
Kopech has been absolutely elite at home where he is pitching tonight. The guy has a 1.57 ERA over 6 starts, just insane. This not having more juice is absolutely wild because I would have played this up to at least -150. I know I say that now and the second I tweet this the odds will skyrocket to the moon but as for now it’s nice to see at least. The sportsbooks have been much sharper this year in making less mistake lines and juicing plays that have slight edges but they’re far from perfect. This having minimal juice is outstanding value and is the closest of my 1u plays that I considered upping today. Let's play it safe and go with the 3 play 1u card though, we have a good track record with those typically.