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After missing out on +17623 and +1350 parlays over the last two days by just one leg each, betting expert Brian Matthews is back with a +28120 banger for Friday's loaded slate.

Friday MLB Best Bet (+28120): Relying on Yordan Alvarez, Mike Trout, and More

Over the last two days, we've missed out on a +17263 parlay by a Brandon Drury homer and a +1350 ticket by one measly Tim Anderson total base. Pain.

While that does hurt, it means we're getting close -- one of these days we're going to hit big. Could it happen during tonight's loaded MLB slate? Why not?

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Friday MLB Parlay: +28120 (Bet $100 to Win $28210)

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Yordan Alvarez (Houston Astros) to Hit a HR: +280

Air Yordan has smashed five dongs in his last five games. He's already smashed 19 homers against right-handed pitching this season, and he sports a ridiculous .442 ISO against. Meanwhile, on the season, Luis Severino has ceded 2.0 homers per nine innings to lefty bats.

C.J. Cron (Colorado Rockies) to Hit a HR: +350

Cron has squared off against Dylan Bundy 19 times in his career, and he's taken him deep three times. Since 2018, righties have smashed a whopping 60 dingers off Bundy, good for 1.9 per nine innings. Cron is 20th in the league with a .250 ISO.

Nolan Arenado (St. Louis Cardinals) to Hit a HR: +420

Kyle Hendricks has been an absolute mess over the last two seasons. Since the start of 2021, he has a 4.95 ERA while surrendering 1.6 round-trippers per nine frames. Arenado, meanwhile, is quite familiar with the veteran righty, as he's faced him 36 times, homering three times against him.

Mike Trout (Los Angeles Angels) to Hit a HR: +235

We don't really need to justify a Mike Trout home run pick, but we can do it anyway. Trout has left the yard five times in his last seven games, and he's third in the majors with 17 homers against same-sided pitchers. Opposing him will be Chris Flexen, who has surrendered seven of his 10 homers to righty bats.

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Article Author


Born in Southern California, Brian lives and breathes sports.  He comes from a football family, with a number of family members who played professionally.  While Brian didn’t play professionally, he took his insights and dominated off the field. In fact, during the 2021 NFL season, his bets and parlays returned a whopping 117.84 units. Specializing in data analysis, Brian takes a unique approach to his NFL, NBA, and MLB bets. You can find him on Twitter at @the_bmatt.


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