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MLB expert and handicapper Jason Radowitz is back with his top MLB bets and parlay picks for Saturday's slate. He breaks down his two parlays for us here with his top moneyline and total runs picks.
ANALYSIS

MLB Parlay Picks for Saturday: Cash In With This Expert's +645 Parlay

Due to popular demand, we're adding an article at Oddschecker that consists of two parlays. I'm going to add two different parlays, one being a moneyline parlay and the other being a totals parlay in the MLB daily. You can always mix and match these parlays where you see the value! Head to the Oddschecker MLB Odds grid to see complete odds for every game today on the board.

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MLB Moneyline Parlay Picks (+273) (Bet $100 to win $273)

  • Royals (-175)
  • Giants (-245)
  • Diamondbacks (-145)

We're rolling with home teams today! The Royals will take on Jared Koenig, a left-handed pitcher with Oakland. He has a 7.71 xFIP in the last 30 days with more walks than strikeouts. Meanwhile, the Royals will send out eight righties to go up against the left-hander and have a ton of power potential in the middle of the lineup. On the other hand, Brad Keller will get the call for the Royals and while he hasn't been great, the Athletics have been terrible against right-handed pitching, with a .118 ISO and wOBA of .269. Take the Royals.

This is likely the biggest pitching mismatch of tonight's slate analytically. Mike Minor will take the hill for the Reds with a 5.88 xFIP while Logan Webb will take the mound for the Giants with a 2.84 xFIP in the last 30 days. The Giants will have six righties to go up against Minor tonight. Back the Giants.

Zach Davies will man the mound for the Diamondbacks tonight. He's actually been a lot better than in previous years. He's got a high strikeout rate and a low walk rate. Tonight, he's taking on a Tigers lineup that has a .061 ISO and wOBA of .260. The Tigers have been brutal against righties and that won't change tonight. Meanwhile, Alex Faedo will get the start for the Tigers. He's allowed a ton of power to lefties and the Diamondbacks have three batters that have above-average numbers against righties when it comes to power. Give me the Diamondbacks at home.

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MLB Total Runs Parlay Picks +645 (Bet $100 to win $645)

  • Orioles vs. White Sox Under 9 (+100)
  • Phillies vs. Padres Over 7.5 (-110)
  • Mariners vs. Angels Under 8 (-105)

The Orioles have been one of the best bullpens in baseball this season. I know, it's hard to believe. With Spenser Watkins making his comeback off the injured list, you can expect the bullpen to get plenty of innings in this game. That's not something to be mad about. Meanwhile, Lance Lynn will get the call for the White Sox. He's been unlucky with a .387 BABIP in the last 30 days. Look for that number to drop and for his ERA to drop because of it. Take the under 9.

The Phillies and Padres scored a combined one run yesterday. That will change today between Zach Eflin and Blake Snell. Both teams have wOBA of .325 or higher in the last 30 days and can keep strikeouts down as well. Meanwhile, both pitchers have high xFIPs, to begin with.

The Angels and Mariners have just five players combined that have above-average numbers against their opposition. With Logan Gilbert and Pablo Sandoval on the mound, offenses aren't going to have an easy night. Both pitchers have an ERA below 3 and both lineups have really struggled towards the bottom. Take the under.

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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