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Handicapper and MLB player prop specialist John Hyslop is here this Sunday with a top strikeout prop bet. His pick comes from the San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds matchup eyeing right-hander Tyler Mahle
ANALYSIS

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Best Bet: Can Tyler Mahle Mount Up Strikeouts?

It's Sunday so obviously we'll need some action. Especially after the Saturday we just had. A lot of cappers would have been all over Twitter bragging about going 3-0 on their Saturday bets but not me. I didn't even bring it up once. Not just on Twitter, but even in my articles as well. Class move by me. There's just no reason to talk about yesterday when we have more bets to win today. Even when you dominate by going 3-0. That's just common sense. Instead, we should be looking for more bets. We can't go undefeated again if we don't find more bets. Lucky for us, I jumped into the 4:00 pm ET slate first and found absolute gold. It's like the books want us to go undefeated again today. I couldn't imagine hanging a line this bad unless it was on purpose.

Giants vs. Reds Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 26, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Giants vs Reds Odds

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Giants vs. Reds Line Movement

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Tyler Mahle Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-136) (Bet $136 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at FanDuel*

We're at FanDuel for this one since the others are getting wild with their pricing. DraftKings is out here with a -155 hanging for 5.5 which is way too much if you ask me. BetMGM is better with -145 but it's still a little too much. I don't even want to pay the -136 FanDuel is charging but we have to do what we have to do sometimes. Plus we can ladder at FanDuel and they have 7+ (+150) which seems like something some of you would be into.

This Tyler Mahle is a tough guy to nail down. He could go 10+ strikeouts or he could go three. It all depends on the day. Still, he's got 90 Ks in just 80.2 innings of work this season so he is technically a strikeout guy. The books should be on to him but since they're hanging 5.5s, I don't think they are. If I was in charge, people would get fired for putting a 5.5 by this guy's name. He's simply not a 5.5 guy anymore.

The thing I like about Mahle is the fact that he's a horse. In his last nine starts, he's gone over 100 pitches in all of them. That's pretty respectable these days. You just don't see it much. It's not just the high pitch count I like though as Mahle fanned at least six guys in seven of those starts. He even sat down 12 guys in one of them. We're talking about a guy who likes striking guys out here people.

Today Mahle gets the San Francisco Giants who he's already smacked around once (8 Ks) this season. He's getting them at a good time too since they have fanned second-most in MLB over the last week. We're talking almost 30% of their at-bats in that span here people. That's pretty bad. We could legit see eight guys who have fanned in at least 23% of their at-bats since last Sunday. This feels like a good spot to toss a bet in, sit by a pool and watch a guy strike a bunch of other guys out. Perfect Sunday if you ask me.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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