Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Back Julio Rodriguez and The Mariners Bats

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Back Julio Rodriguez and The Mariners Bats

We're 74 games into the season and the Baltimore Orioles have the same record as the Seattle Mariners.

Both of these two teams are currently 34-40 and while neither team is going to reach the playoffs this year, the Orioles have been surprisingly better than expected while the Mariners have under-achieved.

The winner of this series will have the better record. Can the Orioles stay hot on the road?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Monday's game between the Seattle Mariners and the Baltimore Orioles.

Mariners vs. Orioles Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: June 27, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 pm ET
• Where to Watch: MSN2, RSNW

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Mariners vs. Orioles Injury Report

Orioles

Questionable: 2B Rougned Odor (Back) Out: 2B Ramon Urias (Oblique)

Mariners

Out: OF Mitch Haniger (Ankle), OF Kyle Lewis (Concussion), C Tom Murphy (Shoulder), 1B Evan White (Groin), 2B Ty France (Arm)

Mariners vs. Orioles Line Movement

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Mariners currently have two Rookie of the Year candidates in the American League. Of course, the first player that comes to mind is Julio Rodriguez, the center field of the Mariners.

However, the other player is George Kirby, who is 2-2 with a 3.12 ERA on the season for the Mariners. Kirby is a rookie pitcher that has put up some really solid numbers this year.

Kirby has a 4.10 xFIP in the last 30 days with 23.1% of strikeouts and 3.4% of walks. He's also induced 45.9% of grounders while limiting line drives to 15.3%.

Kirby will take on a Mariners lineup that has a .305 wOBA against righties in the last 30 days with 23.2% of strikeouts and just 5.9% of walks.

The Orioles will have power from righties like Trey Mancini and Austin Hayes, for example, but other than that, Kirby should be able to escape much damage against the Orioles.

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On the other hand, it'll be Tyler Wells on the mound for the Orioles. He's 5-4 with a 3.34 ERA on the year but has a 5.92 xFIP in the last 30 days.

Wells has struck out just 14.2% of batters in the last 30 days while also walking 9.4% of batters. He's also been lucky with a BABIP of .179 in those 30 days. That number will surely go up as the season progresses.

The Mariners will have suspensions with many of their players after yesterday's brawl, but these players will likely appeal the suspension and be able to play in today's game. So there's nothing to worry about there, just yet.

Seattle has a .160 ISO and a wOBA of .316 against righties in the last 30 days. But what stands out the most is that Seattle has hit 25% of liners as a projected lineup against righties in those 30 days.

I'll trust Kirby and the Seattle offense to get the job done against Baltimore, at home, in the first game of the series.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick

• Mariners (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)

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