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It’s Dinger Tuesday, and that means it’s time to dial up a longshot home run parlay in honor of Dinger Tuesday. Here's MLB expert Brian Matthews with his best bet for the day.

MLB Best Bet (+35747): Can't-Miss Longshot Home Run Parlay for Dinger Tuesday

It’s Dinger Tuesday, and we all know what that means. That’s right, it’s time to dial up a longshot lotto in honor of Dinger Tuesday on this MLB slate – why not?

With +35747 odds, this puts hits squarely in the lotto realm. Let’s break it down.

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Tuesday MLB Parlay: +35747 (Bet $100 to Win $35747)

Aaron Judge (NYY) to hit a HR (+275)

Judge is a regular to this list, and when you have 28 home runs at this point in the season, it’s warranted. Of those 28 dingers, 21 of them have come against right-handed pitchers. With an ISO of .375 against RHP, a hard-hit rate of 50.6%, and a career batting average of .500 against Frankie Montas, I’ll back Judge. (Potential pivot is Josh Donaldson: 7 AB’s vs. Montas – 4 hits – 3 of them HR’s)

Corey Seager (TEX) to hit a HR (+385)

Jon Heasley is allowing lefties to bat .308 off him with a .442 ISO. Seager has been hit or miss this season, but this is a dream spot for him. This season alone, Heasley is allowing a .610 SLG, a .413 wOBA, 3.32 HR/9, and 49.2% fly-ball rate versus left-handed hitters. Heasley has given up 7 home runs, 6 of them to lefties. (Potential pivot: Adolis Garcia)

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Trea Turner (LAD) to hit a HR (+350)

The Dodgers are one of the best offenses in the league, and I don’t expect a repeat performance of last night against the Rockies. Turner has been hitting the ball well, and that will only be aided by conditions at Coors Field. The last time he went hitless in a game, he came back the very next game and put one in the cheap seats. (Pivot: Paul Goldschmidt – STL)

Vlad Guerrero Jr. (TOR) to hit a HR (+350)

Vlad is batting .286 against Michael Wacha with a .571 slugging percentage. 13 of his 17 home runs have come against RHP, and the weather conditions are nice for the long ball. Wacha has given up 4 home runs to right-handed batters. Let’s stay with Vlad to stay hot. (Pivot: Rafael Devers)

Article Author


Born in Southern California, Brian lives and breathes sports.  He comes from a football family, with a number of family members who played professionally.  While Brian didn’t play professionally, he took his insights and dominated off the field. In fact, during the 2021 NFL season, his bets and parlays returned a whopping 117.84 units. Specializing in data analysis, Brian takes a unique approach to his NFL, NBA, and MLB bets. You can find him on Twitter at @the_bmatt.


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