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Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is back with another top MLB player prop bet for Tuesday night. This time he's looking at the St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins game with his sights set on Braxton Garrett.
ANALYSIS

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Prediction: Can Braxton Garrett Rack Up The Strikeouts?

The second bet of the night is coming from the Miami Marlins/St. Louis Cardinals game. It starts at 7:45pm ET so by the time we're actually into it, we should have two bets going on at once since we have Michael Wacha going at 7:07pm ET. Obviously, Wacha could have already covered by the time this one even gets going (he likely will), but it's still nice to know that we could be double-fisting with this one.

Having two bets going at the same time is pretty much the key to life so obviously, we need to root for it. What makes this one special is the fact that it legit has a zero percent chance of losing. I did over 5000 mental simulations and I never lost once. I can't even believe the books are letting us bet this.

Let's dive into my player prop pick, prediction, and the odds for the Cardinals vs Marlins game.

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Cardinals vs Marlins Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:45 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSF, BSMW, MLB.TV

Click Here for Cardinals vs Marlins Odds

Cardinals vs Marlins Line Movement

 

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Player Prop Pick

Braxton Garrett Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-155) (Bet $155 to win $100)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

We're at DraftKings for this one but we've got options. If you really want to prove yourself to the books and your crew, you could go 4.5 (+130) at FanDuel. Nothing is more alpha than saying, "I was going to take 3.5 but I know this guy is good for 4.5 so I just took that for +130." That brings respect in any group chat. It's pretty much the best way to get respect in any gambling circle. Still, I'm rolling 3.5. I'm too old to care about respect. I just want to gamble.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

This guy is a tough one to figure out. By just the eyeball test, he's a strikeout guy. At 6'2" tall and 202 pounds, he's not the biggest guy but he isn't exactly small either. I also like how he went 202 on his weight instead of rounding up or down. That shows the guy is precise and we like that in our pitchers. I also like the fact that he's only got 17 strikeouts in 17.2 innings of work. Flying under the radar is always the way.

Even though his yearly numbers are under the radar, we may be dealing with a showoff. In his last start against the Colorado Rockies, he fanned seven guys. In fact, the only reason his numbers are even is that he had a game against the New York Mets where he didn't strike out anyone. He's started four times this season and has fanned at least five guys in every start except that one against the Mets. Only five teams have struck out less than the Mets this season so I don't even count that start.

Tonight Garrett will run into the St. Louis Cardinals and while they haven't struck out much this season, they have been K-ing a little much lately. Over the last week, only two teams have struck out more than they have. We're talking 59 strikeouts in only 197 at bats. That's bad. Real bad. Looking through their lineup, all we need to see is some combination of Dylan Carlson, Harrison Bader, Andrew Knizner, Nolan Gorman, Billy Donovan, Juan Yepez, and Ivan Herrera and we're home. All of those guys are 25+% strikeout guys over the last week. This feels pretty easy.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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