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Handicapper and player prop expert John Hyslop is here with his top MLB player prop bet for Tuesday night. His pick comes from the Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox game with his sights set on veteran right-hander Michael Wacha.
ANALYSIS

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction: Will Michael Wacha Mow Down Bo Bichette and the Blue Jays?

I wanted to bet on the afternoon game between the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians but I just couldn't bring myself to do it. Looking at the matchup, that looks like more of a mid-July type move when we've been beaten down so much that we'll bet on anything. We're good for right now in that regard. We just had hockey the other day so it's not like we're right in the middle of it here. Instead, I'm waiting until 7:07 pm ET for the Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays game. Honestly, it just feels right. I have certain rules I live by; one of them is when I see a bet with a 0.0% chance of losing, I take it. No exceptions.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:07 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Blue Jays vs Red Sox Odds

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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Line Movement

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Michael Wacha Over 3.5 Strikeouts (-120) (Bet $120 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at FanDuel*

We're at FanDuel but if you wanted to go to DraftKings you could because they have the exact same price. Plus their site is back up after being down for what felt like forever this morning. Yeah, I noticed. Betting on sports is already hard enough, it's pretty much impossible when the sites are down. I'm just glad they got it back up and running. Imagine what would have happened if it was still down this afternoon when Ricky Bobby wakes up. That could have been bad.

Michael Wacha is a guy I haven't been playing because I like to wait for the perfect time. He's been around for what feels like forever so the books know who he is at this point. He's a 6'6", 215-pound (yeah right) tank who throws gas. The thing I like about him is the fact that he doesn't like to show off about it. On the season he's only fanned 48 guys in 67.1 innings of work which is why we're staring at a 3.5 (-120) move here.

I will admit, Wacha has been showing off a little bit lately. There was no reason for him to go out and embarrass the Detroit Tigers by fanning seven of them last time out when his line was only 4.5. Did he need the last two? Probably not but I'm sure he had a good reason for getting them. He's been pretty aggressive like that in June fanning at least five guys in three of his four starts. The only time he didn't was when he only got three Seattle Mariners. You just know he got hosed by the home plate umpire more than once that game.

It feels kind of weird to do this but we're targeting the Toronto Blue Jays tonight. On the season they have struck out the ninth fewest times in MLB. That's not great. The thing is, over the last two weeks, they've struck out seventh-most in MLB. Just last night they fanned 11 times even though they pumped the Red Sox. We only need four out of Wacha here people. By my count, we have six Blue Jays in the lineup that have whiffed in at least 26% of their at-bats over the last two weeks. I feel like this is an easy move.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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