Share to Facebook
Share to Twitter
Copy Link
I was picking between which pitcher of the two to fade today, and then I thought, "why not both?”. Here's my best bet for Tuesday's Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates game fading both Jose Quintana and Patrick Corbin.
ANALYSIS

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction: Can Fading Both Jose Quintana and Patrick Corbin Work?

Nationals vs. Pirates Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Nationals vs Pirates Odds

BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 on the MLB
  • Bet $10 On the MLB
  • Get $200 In Free Bets
  • MLB Exclusive

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs

Nationals vs. Pirates Total Movement

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

1u - Over 4 Runs First 5 Innings (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)

*Odds Available at BetMGM*

Most books have this at 4.5 which I also don’t mind but I never mind drinking juice and I like having the added push opportunity. For those unfamiliar, this bet is on MGM under “Totals” and then “1st 5 Innings Totals”. I think this overall game line of 8.5 is too low but I’ll just focus on these two guys. For those curious, I would still play at 4.5 for 1 unit if you could get odds that are -130 or better. Let's get into why I like this play.

Jose Quintana on the road is asking for trouble. The 33-year-old lefty this year holds a 4.44 away ERA in five starts and has already gotten popped for 3 runs in 4 innings against this same Washington team. Last year Quintana was even worse on the road posting a 9.93 ERA. Washington hits lefties extremely well at a .256 batting average. Quintana has allowed at least 2 runs in his last 7 starts in the first 5 innings, all we need is 2 from both for the push and a split of 2 and 3 for the win. Quintana isn’t good, he has struggled against Washington specifically and is worse on the road. I expect some early runs out of Washington.

On the other side of the bump, we have none other than Patrick Corbin. This guy is in the “Dallas Keuchel Fade Hall Of Fame”. Corbin has been awful allowing 2+ runs in 14/15 games and hoisting a brutal 6.60 ERA. Pittsburgh isn’t the best hitting team hitting just over .220 against lefties but if there is ever one they should be able to hit then it’s this guy. Corbin has been a walking fade all year and I see no signs of things stopping now. Corbin allowed 2 runs in 5 innings last time against Pittsburgh this season which is probably his second-best start of the year. That being his second-best start on the year speaks volumes as to how brutal this guy has been. In a perfect world, we want one guy to allow 3 and the other to allow 2, Corbin has allowed 3+ runs in 7 of his last 8 games.

Looking for the best sportsbook offers? Check out the free bets page

Fanduel logo
Get a $1000 No Sweat First Bet on Any Sport
  • $1000 Risk Free
  • Get your Wager returned if you lose
  • Limited time offer

CLAIM OFFER
T&Cs
BetMGM logo
Bet $10, Win $200 When Wagering on the MLB
  • Deposit $10 into your new BetMGM Account
  • Bet $10 on an MLB Moneyline
  • Get $200 Instantly

Claim Your $200 Now
T&Cs
Bet365 NJ logo
Bet $1, Get $200 on the MLB
  • Deposit $10 into your new Bet365 account
  • Bet $1 on MLB Moneyline
  • Get $200, win or lose

Claim Your $200 Now
T&Cs
Betfred logo
Bet $50, Get $200 on Any Sport
  • Bet $50, Get $200 on Any Sport
  • Limited Time Offer
  • New Customers Only

Claim Your $250 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
 logo
Bet $20, Get $100 on any Sport
  • Bet $20, Get $100
  • Promo Code
  • Biggest Bet + Get Offer On The Market

Claim Your $100 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Betfred logo
Bet $50, Get $200 on Any Sport
  • Bet $50, Get $200 on Any Sport
  • Limited Time Offer
  • HUGE INSTANT WIN

Claim Your $200 Now
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
 logo
$1,000 Risk-free + 1 month of free FuboTV
  • Get $1000 Risk Free
  • Plus On Month Free Fubo TV
  • Limited Time Offer

Claim Your Risk-Free $1000
New Customers OnlyT&Cs
Caesars Sportsbook logo
$1500 First Bet Insurance
  • Open a new Caesars Sportsbook account
  • Deposit up to $1500
  • Get your wager insured 100%

Claim Your Insured $1500
New Customers OnlyT&Cs

Article Author

ROI 10%
NFLNBAMLB
insightpicks

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

Expert Handicappers

View all Handicappers
0Betslip

Almost there!

We are loading your bets, and they will be here in a second.