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Tonight the Chicago Cubs take on the Cincinnati Reds for the last game in their series. Can the Cubs get win No 30? Can they rally behind Kyle Hendricks to win the series? Jason Radowitz answers.

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction: Can the Cubs Rally Behind Kyle Hendricks?

The Chicago Cubs will be looking for their 30th win of the season in the final game of their home series against the Reds.

The Cubs defeated the Reds 8-3 in yesterday's game and will look to carry that momentum into tonight's game.

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Thursday's game between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds.

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Cubs vs. Reds Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: June 30, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:05 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MARQ, BSOH

Click Here for Cubs vs Reds Odds

Cubs vs. Reds Injury Report


Out: OF Aristides Aquino (Ankle), OF Jake Fraley (Knee), OF Tyler Naquin (Quadriceps), C Tyler Stephenson (Thumb)


Questionable: OF Jason Heyward (Knee)

Out: 1B Frank Schwindel (Back), OF Michael Hermosillo (Quadriceps), 2B Nick Madrigal (Groin), OF Seiya Suzuki (Finger)

Cubs vs. Reds Line Movement

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

The Chicago Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks for tonight's game. Hendricks has a 3-6 record with a 4.90 ERA on the season.

In the last 30 days, however, Hendricks. has a 4.13 xFIP with 21.3% of strikeouts and 3.4% of walks. He's been better in the last month in comparison.

Still, Hendricks has allowed 26.9% of line drives in the last 30 days and has induced just 35.8% of ground balls in that same time frame. Lefties are currently hitting a .382 wOBA and ISO of .243 against Hendricks.

However, the Reds will only have two lefties in the lineup. Joey Votto has a .194 ISO and wOBA of .345 in the last 30 days against righties while Mike Moustakas has been dreadful, hitting a .051 ISO and wOBA of .265.

There's reason to think Hendricks can escape without allowing too much damage.

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On the other hand, Graham Ashcraft will take the mound for the Reds. Ashcraft has been one of the few bright spots for the Reds, holding a 4-1 record with a 3.27 ERA on the season.

In the last 30 days, he has had an xFIP of 3.39 with 2.4% of walks. He's also induced 57.6% of ground balls in those 30 days. However, righties have hit a .330 wOBA and ISO of .218 in his last 55 plate appearances against them.

The Cubs have six righties in the lineup and a wOBA of .334 against righties in the last 30 days with the projected lineup. Plus, the Cubs have hit 22.2% of line drives against righties in that same time frame.

I'll take the Cubs as a short favorite at home.

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Pick

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Article Author


Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.


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