San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: Will Alex Cobb Shut Down Jose Abreu and the White Sox?

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction: Will Alex Cobb Shut Down Jose Abreu and the White Sox?

The assault on the books will continue at 10:10 pm ET tonight when the San Francisco Giants take on the Chicago White Sox. I know this one is late for the east coasters but who are we kidding, it's Friday. We'll be up, probably in the middle of twelve-pack (responsibly), ready to gamble (responsibly). I can say with absolute certainty that there is a play in this game that has a zero percent chance of losing at the time of writing. I've gone over every single aspect of this thing and I can't even believe any sportsbook on the planet would allow someone to bet this. Especially a publicly-traded company. It just doesn't make sense since DraftKings is in business to turn a profit. I guess it just goes to show that I don't understand the stock market or the corporate world.

Giants vs. White Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

• Date: July 1, 2022
• Game Time: 10:15 pm ET
• Where to Watch: MLB.TV

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Giants vs. White Sox Line Movement

San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction

Alex Cobb Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+120) (Bet $100 to win $120)

*Odds Available at DraftKings*

We're at DraftKings here since the other books are dragging their feet with Cobb. They don't want us betting him. It's that simple. FanDuel is down to even money and BetMGM is showing 4.5 (+110). Both are fine but still, getting +120 on a stud like Cobb feels like the move here. As always, FanDuel has the ladders and it's Friday so if you wanted to go 6+ (+200), you could easily do that and alpha every person in your group chat for the rest of the weekend. Just something to think about.

Alex Cobb is a tricky, tricky individual and only true professionals should be dealing in his props. Lucky for us, I'm an Alex Cobb expert. The guy went to Vero Beach High School and I was born in Vero so I know what I'm doing here. The best part about Cobb is he flies under the radar so these books have no idea how to price him. He's got 53 unspectacular strikeouts in only 46 innings of work which is masterful since he's still a 4.5 guy.

What's holding Cobb's number down is the fact that he was limited in his last two starts after being out for a few weeks. He never struck out more than four batters in either game but in one of them, he was only allowed to throw 60 pitches. How is that his fault? Still, last game he fanned four in just 80 pitches and that was against the Cincinnati Reds who don't really strike out so that's huge. Plus, he probably wasn't even trying to strike guys out since he knew he was on a pitch count. That makes sense when you think about it.

Tonight Cobb is getting the Chicago White Sox and the haters are going to be furious about this one. I can hear them now, "only five teams have struck out less than the White Sox this season". That's true but over the last two weeks, only eight teams have struck out more. What if they trot out a lineup with Yoan Moncada, Adam Haseley, Jake Burger, and Seby Zavala in it? All those guys are 36+% strikeout guys over the last two weeks. They've got another six guys that are all 20+% over that same span. We don't even need a vintage Alex Cobb tonight. Just a version that can get us five whiffs. I think that happens by the time the second inning ends. Maybe even sooner.

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