Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox Prediction: Can Josh Winckowski, Rafael Devers, and The Red Sox Bounce Back?
Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox Prediction: Will Cubs Get a Series Win Over Boston?
The Chicago Cubs rallied from four runs to defeat the Boston Red Sox 6-5 in yesterday's series opener.
The Cubs now have a chance to win the weekend series against a red-hot Boston Red Sox team. Will the Red Sox get back on track or will the Cubs dominate on their home field?
Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Saturday's game between the Chicago Cubs and Boston Red Sox.
Cubs vs. Red Sox Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds
- Date: July 2, 2022
- Game Time: 7:15 pm ET
- Where to Watch: FOX
Cubs vs. Red Sox Injury Report
Out: 2B Kike Hernandez (Hip)
Questionable: 2B David Bote (Shoulder)
Out: 1B Frank Schwindel (Back), OF Michael Hermosillo (Quadriceps), 2B Nick Madrigal (Groin), OF Seiya Suzuki (Finger), OF Jason Heyward (Knee)
Cubs vs. Red Sox Line Movement
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston will look to tie the weekend series up at one, with right-hander Josh Winckowski on the mound. Winckowski has a 3-1 record with a 3.60 ERA on the season and has been a pleasant surprise for the Red Sox.
In the last 30 days, he has had an xFIP of 4.14 with just 4.4% of plate appearances resulting in walks. Winckowski is getting plenty of ground balls recently, as he’s induced 57.1% in the last 30 days.
Winckowski has also limited power in that 30-day timeframe and has been reliable for the Red Sox in his starter role.
On the other hand, the Cubs have a .139 ISO and wOBA of .321 against righties in the last 30 days. Those are average numbers, but what stands out the most is that Chicago is hitting 47.1% of ground balls with their projected lineup. That should be good news for Red Sox backers.
The Cubs will pitch Alec Mills looking to get an early series win. However, Mills hasn't really been a winner this season. He’s pitched six games and has a 9.87 ERA in 17.1 innings pitched.
In the last 30 days, Mills is allowing a .457 wOBA and ISO of .333 to his last 43 lefties and he’s also allowing a .476 wOBA and ISO of .472 to his last 39 righties.
The Red Sox have a .144 ISO and wOBA of .339 in the last 30 days against righties. Those are better numbers than Chicago in the first place. And while Boston hasn’t been very consistent at the plate, against Mills, Boston should have success.
The main contributor will be Rafael Devers, who has a .266 ISO and wOBA of .420 against righties. Anyway, as a team, Boston has hit 21.5% of line drives against righties and should be able to continue hitting a bunch against Mills, who has struggled to earn many strikeouts this season.
Back the Red Sox to tie the series at one with a win today on the road.
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox Pick
- Red Sox (-150) (Bet $150 to Win $100)
Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.