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Handicapper and MLB player prop specialist John Hyslop is back with another one of his top hits prop bet. This time he's looking at the Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves matchup eyeing starting pitcher Spencer Strider.

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Best Bet: Can the Reds Bats Get to Spencer Strider?

We've made it to the 4:10 pm ET portion of the day so it's time to get serious. By this point in the day, we're going to need something we can trust. Something we can hammer. That's just how mid-afternoon bets work on Saturdays.

Lucky for us, not only did I find something we can hammer, but this bet also has a nice (+) sign attached to it. Everyone knows that when you bet something that's priced at +130 or more, you look like an expert. That's the power of the plus moneyline. It's been like that for years. The only thing that would make this bet better is if we could watch it on TV. It's not going to be nationally televised but that's not my fault. I don't make the television schedules. Still, it's a damn good game to bet and I'm doing it. Feels right.

Reds vs. Braves Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Click Here for Reds vs Braves Odds

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Reds vs. Braves Line Movement

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Best Bet

Spencer Strider Over 4.5 Hits Allowed (+130) (Bet $100 to win $130)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

This is hanging at DraftKings as we speak but if you want to go to FanDuel, by all means, do it. They have 4.5 (+120) which obviously isn't quite as good but it's good enough. We're looking for action at a good price here and this is it. I have no problem saying this bet is +120 to anyone who asks. Feels just as good as +130 in my book. Keep in mind +130 is definitely better though (math).

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Prediction

Everyone loves this Spencer Strider kid. What's not to like? the kid throws gas and he strikes people out. The kid has 79 strikeouts in only 53.2 innings of work this season. The thing is, that is making him almost unbetable in the strikeout market. DraftKings hung 6.5 at -155 on him today. What the hell is that all about? FanDuel was a little better at 6.5 (-146) but not much. We need another way to bet this guy.

Since I'm always just sitting on the cutting edge of innovation, I think I found "the way" for this Strider kid. While all the people are marveling at his strikeout ability, they're overlooking the fact that teams are figuring this kid out (probably). Since the day he fanned 11 Washington Nationals, Strider has started twice and only reached seven strikeouts once. In both games, he gave up at least five hits. One game was against the San Francisco Giants who have the sixth-fewest hits in MLB this season.

I think we just need a team that's swinging a good bat and that team could be Strider's opponent today, the Cincinnati Reds. Over the last week, they've got the fourth most hits in MLB despite only playing five games in that span. They are legit hitting .310 as a team. The beauty is they aren't hitting balls over the fence (four HRs) or scoring a ton of runs (26). That's good because we don't want them chasing Strider from the game although that would be unlikely after only five hits. Any way you look at it, we're going to look like geniuses after this bet. There's just no way around it.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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