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Handicapper and MLB player prop specialist John Hyslop is back with top hits prop bet. He's looking at the Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles matchup eyeing right-hander Jordan Lyles.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction: Can Byron Buxton and The Twins Get To Jordan Lyles?

We've got baseball games on all day today so we might as well bet on as many of them as possible. Ask yourself this, "do I think it's more fun to have action all day or not have action all day?" I think the answer is simple. Studies show that people that have action all day are generally happier than people that don't have action all day. It's science.

On top of that, it won't be long before we'll be forced into betting football all day on Saturdays. We need to be battle-tested and betting baseball all day on the weekends is our ticket to greatness.

Lucky for us, the Baltimore Orioles will be visiting the Minnesota Twins today at 2:10 pm ET. It's the perfect bridge to the 4:00 pm ET games and everyone knows it. We just need to find a play that has no chance of losing and I think I may have done that.

Twins vs Orioles Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 pm ET
  • Where To Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Twins vs Orioles Odds

Twins vs Orioles Line Movement

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Pick

Jordan Lyles Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (-125) (Bet $125 to win $100)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

We're at DraftKings for this one but FanDuel also has this market. The issue is FanDuel wants -138 for 5.5 hits allowed which feels expensive. Obviously, I would do it if I had to but if you can bet at DraftKings, just play there. I looked on BetMGM and I didn't see this market so don't waste your time there. At some point, we're going to need them to step up their game a little and give us more things to bet on. The people need action.

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

I'm not trying to be rude here but I've been betting baseball for a while now and I don't ever recall a time where I was like, "Jordan Lyles is good". It's just not something you hear people say. Sure you can get a deal on his strikeouts and he has made us some coin as a solid 3.5 guy but the books want -170 for 3.5 out of him today. I just don't see how they can bend people over like that in this economy but here we are.

The thing I like about Jordan Lyles is he likes to give up hits. It's just how he rolls. Always been that way and nothing has changed this season. So far, he has started 15 games and has yet to give up less than five hits in any of the games. In 10 of the 15 games, he's given up 6+ hits. The point is, he's going to give up at least five hits. We just need to find a team that will get us over the hump. I think we have that team today.

So far this season only three teams in MLB have more hits in day games than the Minnesota Twins. The haters are going to say that they've had over 1200 at-bats during the day but that doesn't make my first statement false. It just doesn't. Even if you want to go the haters' route of trashing the daytime stat, there is still no explanation for the Twins having the fourth most hits on the season no matter when the games were played. These guys can just hit. Over the last week, no team in MLB has had more hits than they do. Simply put, I bet they jump all over poor Jordan Lyles today. Six hits really isn't that much to ask.

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Article Author


John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.


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