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Handicapper and MLB player prop specialist John Hyslop is back again this Wednesday, with another top strikeout prop bet to add. This time his pick comes from the Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Angels matchup, eyeing lefty Trevor Rogers.
ANALYSIS

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction: Can Trevor Rogers Ring Up Mike Trout and the Angels?

Obviously we need a YOLO play for tonight. There's just nothing better than walking around with a +350 bet just hanging out in your pending wagers. It adds a pep to your step that nothing else in the world can possibly come close to doing. It's science. The thing with YOLO plays is they almost never hit, but you don't have to hit a lot of them to be profitable. One out of every +400 move, and you're even. We're talking a 25% hit rate here people. That's nothing. All you have to do is find something at least +300 or better and then talk yourself into it. Lucky for us, I've already done that today. We're good now.

Marlins vs. Angels Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLB.TV

Click Here for Marlins vs. Angels Odds

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Marlins vs. Angels Line Movement

 

Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction

Trevor Rogers 8+ Strikeouts (+350) (Bet $100 to win $350)

*Odds Available at FanDuel*

This one is at FanDuel, and it's fantastic. Obviously, I wish the other books would join in and give us ladders, but they're scared. It has to be that since there's no other reason to deny the people ladders. If that's how they want to be, then fine, we'll just play at FanDuel until they come to their senses. I wish things were different, but they're just not.

To take Trevor Rogers 8+ strikeouts is pretty much insane. I don't even know what I'm thinking here, but it's +350, and I need a YOLO play. It's not ridiculous crazy, but it's not exactly smart either. We should all keep in mind that we're talking about a guy who has fanned 258 guys in 229 innings of work in his career. Last season he sat 157 guys down in 133 innings of work. That's a decent split if you ask me.

So far this season, things have not gone to plan for Trevor, though, which is why taking him to fan eight guys is in the YOLO realm. For starters, after doing it seven times last season, he's only done it once this season. It's kind of not fair, though, because he plays in a division with the Washington Nationals and New York Mets. Those teams don't strike out much. We could be sitting on a "needs the right opponent" guy here. Although he has seen the Atlanta Braves three times and hasn't got more than five strikeouts in any of those games. (The Braves strike out a lot.)

The only team in MLB that has struck out more than the Braves this season is the Los Angeles Angels. They've extended their lead to 29 in the metric and look to be running away with the crown in 2022. As a team, these guys have struck out 123 times in 339 at-bats over the last two weeks. That's 36.2% of the time in that span. Honestly, I don't know if I've ever seen a team that has hit numbers like that in a two-week sample. Not even in Little League. If Trevor Rogers is going to fan eight guys in a game, it's going to be against a team like the Los Angeles Angels. I don't think it's that crazy to take this at +350.

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Article Author

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John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it. His work has appeared on Rotogrinders and he has been a regular on sports talk radio stations across the country. Based in the US, John operates a blog & podcast, Sports Bets Beers, which covers betting angles in the NFL, NBA, MLB, & NHL.

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