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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants prediction and pick. Few expected the Giants to be a .500 team this late in the season, but a loss tonight brings them even on the year exactly halfway through.
ANALYSIS

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction: Will Giants Fall to .500 Tonight?

As expected, we got a pitcher's duel last night, with the San Diego Padres walking it off in the 10th inning against the San Francisco Giants. The Giants are now in danger of falling to .500. It's been a dreadful week for the Giants. And while injuries have piled up, there's no excuses for this kind of poor play. Can the Padres earn another win in the four-game series?

Here are our picks, predictions, and odds for Friday's game between the San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants.

Padres vs. Giants Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 8, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: BSSD, NBCSBA

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Padres vs. Giants Injury Report

Giants

Out: C Curt Casali (Oblique), 2B Thairo Estrada (Illness), OF Luis Gonzalez (Back), 3B Evan Longoria (Oblique)

Padres

Out: 1B Matt Beaty (Shoulder), OF Wil Myers (Knee), OF Jurickson Proofar (Head) SS Fernando Tatis Jr. (Wrist)

Padres vs. Giants Line Movement

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

The Padres are trying to keep up with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West. They've lost some ground but could still make their push as the season progresses. After a win last night, the Padres have all the momentum. They'll send left-hander Blake Snell to the mound. He's 0-5 with a 5.13 ERA on the season. However, in the last 30 days, he's been much better than his record and ERA would indicate. Snell has a 4.27 xFIP with 29.2% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. He's also induced over 49% of ground balls while limiting line drives to 20%. His time is coming. We all know what he's capable of producing. He'll take on a Giants lineup that has struggled badly against lefties. San Francisco has a .121 ISO and wOBA of .283 in the last 30 days against lefties using their projected lineup. On top of that, the Giants have struck out 26.7% of the time in that same time frame against lefties. And to put the icing on the cake, the Giants' projected lineup has hit just 12.7% of line drives against lefties in the last 30 days.

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On the other hand, it'll be Sam Long on the mound for the Giants. He has a 0-1 record with a 1.78 ERA. However, in the last 30 days, he has had an xFIP of 5.17 with just 14.5% of strikeouts. Long has earned less than 30% of grounders and has allowed more than 26% of line drives in those 30 days and has struggled against lefties more than righties. The Padres will only have three lefties in the lineup but still have a higher ISO and wOBA than the Giants in comparison. I'll back Black Snell and the Padres' bats at home against a Giants team that has just looked miserable throughout the week. The Giants were seriously close to getting swept by Arizona before this series.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

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Article Author

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Jason grew up an avid sports fan. His passion for sports writing grew in high school and he developed a blog that was strictly for New York Sports. From his work, you will quickly realize that he loves looking at games from an analytical and numbers perspective and hopes to provide you with that same perspective in his articles.

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