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I’ve yet to a player performance double but this seems like a great spot to start. Here is my pick and prediction for the Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates game.
ANALYSIS

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Best Bet: Can Pablo Lopez Lead the Marlins to a Victory?

I’ve yet to a player performance double but this seems like a great spot to start. Here is my pick, prediction, and odds for the Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates game.

Marlins vs. Pirates Start Time, Where to Watch, and Odds

  • Date: July 13, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 pm ET
  • Where to Watch: MLBN

Click Here for Marlins vs Pirates Odds

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Marlins vs. Pirates Line Movement

Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Best Bet

1u - Pablo Lopez 4+ K’s + Marlins Win SGP (-120) (Bet $120 to win $100)

*Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing*

Whenever I enter a new market I try to explain how to place the bet for anyone unfamiliar. When you go to the Pirates/Marlins game select “Same Game Parlay” and from there you will go “Popular” and select Marlins ML. After that id completed scroll over to “Pitching Props” and select Pablo Lopez 4+ K’s. Normally I don’t find value in these type of bets but I feel like this one is an exception, I lean yes on Marlins -0.5 F5 as well if that’s something you’re interested in pivoting to if you don’t have DraftKings.

Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

So why do I like this prop? As a strikeout hater, I think Pablo’s hit rate of 15/17 is impressive. Even more impressive is that he has the same hit rate for 5+, he hasn’t had exactly four all year. With that being said, we’ll play it safe and stick with four. Pittsburgh strikes out the third most in the MLB and Lopez should be able to make four batters whiff with relative ease. The Pirates bat a pathetic .220 against righties and Lopez should have a good game despite the strikeout requirements. It’s hard to trust the Marlins bullpen but the Pirates rank even worse so we have a slight advantage there as well.

Pittsburgh is on a four-game win streak and two of those are against Miami, I don’t see this streak holding up. Miami is a good home team with a 20-19 home record and Pittsburgh is a bad road team with an 18-27 road record. Pablo Lopez is the toughest competition yet and Miami should hit well against Brubaker to give him some run support. Brubaker has allowed 3+ earned runs in five of his last seven and is especially bad on the road throughout his career. Last year he had a 6.78 road ERA in 14 games and this year has a 4.32 ERA through 10 games. Miami hits righties at a .246 clip and hits them much better than lefties. This is a law of averages play, Pirates can’t keep getting away with this.

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Article Author

NFLNBAMLB

Josh has a knack for picking winning bets, and he specializes in the NFL, NBA, and MLB. As a lifelong Detroit sports fan, he has plenty of time on his hands during playoff season. You can follow him on Twitter at @ThatGuyBets.

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